Plenty of harmony in the pattern analysis over the past month. Interesting to note the uptick in correlation between RRWT projected and observed 500mb hPa anomaly. Attached is the 46-50d outlook verification from 6/29 for 8/14-18. More verification maps here; http://www.consonantchaos.com/a-all.html
If there are any questions, comments, or suggestions on the material presented please let me know. Thank you for reading.
For the Bering Sea Rule (Renken et al.) fans out there, I am slowly automating verification results. Not sure what metrics to correlate or at what time frequency, but it is a start. Attached is an example of a 5-day H5 anomaly for 6/2-6.
A popular way to visualize the Bering Sea Rule is to utilize the maps @crankywxguy generates (http://www.stormhamster.com/bsr/bsr.php) which showcases daily surface and 500MB. I may just run with those metrics for the time being and concentrate on the
Slowly automating RRWT forecast verification. Utilizing GrADS scorr function at the moment. Unsure hemispheric spatial correlation is the best path, but I find it entertaining that generating a forecast verification is considerably more intensive than generating a forecast. Experimenting with the verification strategy and metrics. Attempting to verify each of the current outlooks.
Scores located here: http://www.consonantchaos.com/a-all.html
For those interested in the verifi