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US Wild Weather

Extreme active pattern across the entire US continues, what does it mean for your region? Join the conversion

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  2. I have never seen one like this one though. Just hasn't budged. With all the cold air that has been available, almost impossible to not sneak 1 or 2 good ones in region wide. We did just that in 2016. Plus patterns can usually hold for 6-8 weeks tops.. This one is going on now approaching 3 months. . And, it is almost the same identical issues. Freaky really.
  3. knorthern_knight

    February 17th-18th Winter Storm

    The FIM-8 6-hour snowfall maps show a total accumulation of a couple of inches, maybe a bit more around Niagara and St Catharine's area.
  4. Yesterday
  5. Indygirl

    February 18-20 Winter Storm Potential

    I’m SO hoping for a couple of epic March snowstorms like we had last year! Those are the best! Pleasepleaseplease!!!
  6. raindancewx

    Winter 2018-2019 | Outlooks and Discussion

    This week looks pretty promising for cold and snow in New Mexico. High may only be 35F or so on Tuesday here, around 20F below average, with snow. I think this might be underdone for Albuquerque, but it's a bit early to say either way since its 30+ hours out yet.
  7. macombsnow

    February 15th-17th Winter storm

    Pattern to continue into March
  8. macombsnow

    February 18-20 Winter Storm Potential

    Pattern to continue into March
  9. Last few years have all featured repeat patterns.... just that they favored the coast (sometimes not even west enough to hit 95). Its good when the pattern locks in a favors your area for snow, not so much when it doesnt Yes long range esp euro has been awful, despite anyone who posts model scores (at least for the tri state area)
  10. SNOWBOB11

    February 17th-18th Winter Storm

    Good to see the HRRR showing higher totals. It’s been solid this winter. Looks like there’s a good chance at lake enhancement for the west end of lake ontario. Good chance at a quick 10+ cm for someone if some squalls can fire up.
  11. Yea that would really help. Get the precip in here faster. That is usually the hope with these. Don't think I have ever seen such a repeat, sustained pattern. you can almost mail it in. G-tee those highs start getting locked in around mid -March, the official start of Jonesin' it for golf. That would be the ultimate stab. Too late for most for snows, but just in time to ruin an early spring. Hearing that is not likely in the long range, which means since the long range has been pathetic and polar opposite of forecasted, lock it in .
  12. StretchCT

    February 16-18, 2019 | Winter Storm

    Kinda thought that with possibly our second largest storm that there'd be more excitement. Yeah - 3" of pure snow would be my second largest storm. And the high end..
  13. HamiltonWx

    February 17th-18th Winter Storm

    the SREF plume shows 3.9 inches at YYZ and 4.2 inches at YHM… not sure if this is at 10:1 or includes ratios? The interesting thing with this little system is that if by chance there is lake effect, most of the impact will be felt north of YHM and south of YYZ.
  14. FV3 loop of 24 hr snow and trend of precip
  15. HamiltonWx

    February 17th-18th Winter Storm

    it's gonna be cold at the surface, and aloft, so ratios should be pretty good…light fluff. Here are some kuchera totals FWIW GFS 3K NAM 18z HRRR…yes, it's showing 15-20cm for Hamilton-Stoney Creek 18z RGEM 12z HRW-WRF…let's save this to laugh at later. lol Ditto for the WRF-NSSL
  16. I don't see anything at 500mb that can save this from further warming. Trend when critical for NYC area/NEPA To go along with that, the snow map and precip map. Maybe if the moisture speeds up into the cold a bit faster and holds together more. I've noticed that the precip usually does arrive a bit earlier than modeled.
  17. HamiltonWx

    February 17th-18th Winter Storm

    if upper air conditions are ripe, we could see some lake enhancement around the west end of the Lake….would be nice to see 5-10cm
  18. MidMichiganWX

    February 18-20 Winter Storm Potential

    The storm next weekend looks interesting if it doesn’t shoot way NW.
  19. ohiobuckeye45

    February 18-20 Winter Storm Potential

    Epic pattern for the MW the next week
  20. SNOWBOB11

    February 17th-18th Winter Storm

    18z GFS came a bit NW. 5+ cm for SW ON. A bit less for the GTA. NAM continues to be the most NW with the precip shield.
  21. TheRex

    February 16-18, 2019 | Winter Storm

    Looks like the 18Z has the same size snow shield as the 12Z but decreased snowfall amounts in Central New York and Massachusetts.
  22. For WHO and WHERE are you speaking of!
  23. 18Z NAM at 84hrs. Showing precipitation reaching central virginia!! It's Nam at 84 hrs so take it with a grain of salt 😉
  24. Yeah. But remember bro... we still got 6 weeks of winter left. March is always interesting ;)
  25. No offense Storms but your broad loose analysis is getting old. You've been doing this for years now. Just let the folks who know what they are talking about post.
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