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Spring Fever Spreading

Will Spring be on time for your region? Join the Conversation >> Long Range Spring Outlook

Poconosnow

August 7-8, 2018 | Thunderstorms & Convective Outlook | OBS

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I got thunder and rain going on right now

spc d1 and d2 below with d2 synopsis and fcst

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Edited by Poconosnow

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Not sure we destabilize too much tomorrow but will know better once the night comes around. Got a nice storm just a little ago down here quite the rain situation.

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It's currently verrrry dark, but rain and Thunder not too bad - kind of weak actually. Me thinks I am betwixt and between. 

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Once again, the worst seems to be to the east of the Cap region. 

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There we go - pouring, absolutely pounding rain. 

 

  • Haha 1

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Just now, MaineJay said:

Feels strange to be in this radar range. 😁. College touring.

 

Looks like a cell might hit me later. For now, all beautiful skies.

 

Edited image to highlight the clouds.20180807_173303-01.thumb.jpeg.30781c632dd22d83008ad1a83a509086.jpeg

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Was hot and sunny and now thick overcast and dark, need these storms here very badly!

CODNEXLAB-1km-LongIsland-rad-ani24-201808072230-100-100-raw.gif

 

Wow how nice to upload big animated images without using a host and go through all that. Perfect!

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2 minutes ago, PlanetMaster said:

Was hot and sunny and now thick overcast and dark, need these storms here very badly!

CODNEXLAB-1km-LongIsland-rad-ani24-201808072230-100-100-raw.gif

 

Wow how nice to upload big animated images without using a host and go through all that. Perfect!

Now all we need is Noreaster07 and his beautiful radar loops 😁.

Edited by Solstice
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Storms just blew up in nassau county.  Enough to cancel softball with lightning a few miles from the field

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About to get slammed here, almost as dark as night and thunder grumbling in the distance. Nice complex peaking right in front of me.

codnexlab.NEXRAD.DIX.N0Q.20180807.2336.012ani.gif

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28 minutes ago, Goalie24 said:

Easily best storms of the year here in syosset

Its rocking! frequent lightning and booming thunder, yes definitely the best complex of the Summer here so far.

 

Flash Flood Warnings just went up

Quote

Flash Flood Warning
NYC059-103-080315-
/O.NEW.KOKX.FF.W.0018.180808T0016Z-180808T0315Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
Flash Flood Warning
National Weather Service New York NY
816 PM EDT TUE AUG 7 2018

The National Weather Service in Upton NY has issued a

* Flash Flood Warning for...
  Western Suffolk County in southeastern New York...
  Southern Nassau County in southeastern New York...

* Until 1115 PM EDT.

* At 815 PM EDT, the public reported thunderstorms producing heavy
  rain in excess of 1 inch per hour across the warned area. Flash
  flooding is expected to begin shortly.

* Some locations that will experience flooding include...
  Islip, Levittown, Freeport, Valley Stream, Long Beach, Deer Park,
  Lindenhurst, Garden City, Massapequa, Lynbrook, Woodmere, Babylon,
  Farmingdale, Robert Moses State Park and Jones Beach.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Be especially cautious at night when it is harder to recognize the
dangers of flooding.

A Flash Flood Warning means that flooding is imminent or occurring.
If you are in the warned area move to higher ground immediately.
Residents living along streams and creeks should take immediate
precautions to protect life and property.

 

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7 minutes ago, PlanetMaster said:

Its rocking! frequent lightning and booming thunder, yes definitely the best complex of the Summer here so far.

 

Flash Flood Warnings just went up

 

Every 2 seconds a new bolt.... insane light show

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7 hour loop of radar. 1630 UTC to 2330 UTC on August 7th.

7_hour_loop_of_ts.gif.86725a4c26c0cdc4be5052db66c0f233.gif

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Nice soaker with a added light and sound show. The rain really cooled temps now the nicest I have felt in over 2 weeks sans the humidity.

codnexlab.NEXRAD.DIX.N0Q.20180808.226.096ani.gif

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Hello new forum, got a good soaker around 6pm. At least it didn't rain like Friday night, they just got Blue Marsh Lake back down to normal levels out here.

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Well that was like hell on earth....haven't seen a such a small powerful system in a long time....if only it were winter....

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Quote

Models continue show precipitable water right around 2 inches over the entire region as the atmosphere is like a juicy overripe peach. The kind that you know will only take one bite to unleash more water than you thought could fit inside it. As has been the case recently due to the wet conditions, any storms that contain heavy downpours can cause localize flash flooding again this afternoon. Any widespread excessive rainfall threat is in the marginal category for today. SPC has the area in a marginal risk for severe thunderstorms through the daylight hours.

CTP using a metaphor I hadn't thought of, but it does appear to be fitting. 

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I guess everyone is now posting over here? Well today should be interesting, the atmosphere is ready to go. We should quickly will erode the low level CIN across the area and probably start popping towers around or just before noon time. Going with persistence on timing across the area, for the past couple of days we have seen things popping around 1-2pm across many of the normal regions that pop early (near sea/bay breezes, terrain enhancmen, etc.). It looks as though the actual frontal passage should be later in the afternoon evening timeframe so that should be when we start to get the line moving through the 95 corridor. Wind, heavy rain, small hail further north or in some of the strongest of storms today again can never rule out a possible spin-up. Looks like some fat CAPE potential so strong updrafts with not much in the way of shear which could lend to strong downdrafts fairly similar to what folks dealt with yesterday when underneath these storms.

download.png

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8 minutes ago, Goalie24 said:

From last night here on the island

Screenshot_20180808-143411_Instagram.jpg

That's one incredible pic

thanks for sharing 

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