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White Christmas?

Latest odds and storm events for the holidays tracked

Phased Vort

November 24-25, 2018 | East Coast Storm | Fall Disturbance

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Will probably need to open a thread for that front running deal and then these dates may need to be shifted forward one

Edited by Poconosnow

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It’s become apparent we will likely need a separate thread for the lead up to the 27th period 

the cmc euro and gfs all handle the energy a bit differently 

367E54A1-0396-4F2B-B200-9903F22B3E01.thumb.png.cd2616550a758fdb6439faf9ba40da6f.png9B46EF1A-131A-4EE0-9ED6-077EFA04154D.thumb.png.6794caf6832f9c92adccc4f907f783d9.png

184ADD2E-1045-4CF8-BAD0-6999EBD20966.thumb.png.c731dc7740df8a831eb42d0f7c052f5d.png

 

This front runner then becomes the possible 5050 low for the 27-28th

 

 

Edited by Poconosnow

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12z Cmc for 27683EF4B5-66BF-4E39-86C2-B623D3F884C1.thumb.png.7025483c79ef4b4b119159f5a6cb4d7e.png

likely need to bump these dates forward two as I made a separate thread for the Atlantic front runner 

It would make sense to keep this as the main storm while a new thread be made for the prior 

Edited by Poconosnow

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30 minutes ago, Poconosnow said:

Models stand close to zero chance of getting any of this phasing right in the medium to long range

we simply must follow along for now and know there is a disturbance coming 

 

995e537c3585ce664981911326281781af45ed4586049df06d9e77af02fb8370.jpg

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Ukmet at 12z now also separating a front runner for the 25-26

1915F5CD-F583-49E9-AAAE-D6F48B058EC1.gif.3907df1786f5f0165ab9e2da0ecf28a7.gif

Edited by Poconosnow

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Are these upcoming chances looking good for Pittsburgh as well?

 

I do try to refrain from asking about imby, but since Pittsburgh is on this far west side of this area and the far east of the Ohio Valley/Great Lakes area, sometimes the discussion doesn't quite reach my area, so discussions are focused on the east of the Apps.  Just getting an idea of where I stand in the next few weeks.  Hopefully, we won't get shafted because of the mountains.

Edited by Ahoff

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Folks, Im confused.

Why is there another thread forthissame storm?

The storm I created the thread for is not for astorm that stars on the 27th. Is for one that comes into the regiin around the 25th of November, give or take a day.

The threads will need to be merged.

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This thread is talking about the exact some storm I created the thead for call Nov 25-27th.

Is not for a storm that stars on the 27th and ends later.

This thread will need to be merged. 

 

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1 minute ago, Phased Vort said:

This thread is talking about the exact some storm I created the thead for call Nov 25-27th.

Is not for a storm that stars on the 27th and ends later.

This thread will need to be merged. 

 

No it’s separate

guidance has a front running storm that occurs befor the 27-28

Edited by Poconosnow

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I don’t care what you do but there’s going to be two threads necessary for the period most likely 

Edited by Poconosnow

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8 minutes ago, Phased Vort said:

Folks, Im confused.

Why is there another thread forthissame storm?

The storm I created the thread for is not for astorm that stars on the 27th. Is for one that comes into the regiin around the 25th of November, give or take a day.

The threads will need to be merged.

Look at guidance today it’s not the same storm 

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