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White Christmas?

Tracking latest odds and possible events for the holidays

shaulov4

December 8-10, 2018 | Winter Storm

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image.png.66e0922c53a1d273c2c68607ac88a18b.png

more of a neutral look 

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I'll still be tracking this storm 20 years down the road

image.thumb.png.06f6c9a5cba4dddd1d8ae283a6bd5267.png

Edited by shaulov4
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16 minutes ago, Phil155 said:

Princess bride, no Google searching or any nonsense. 

Well done to yourself and RR

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Unless user error, A Dramatic difference between how pivotal vice tropical tidbits are producing snow maps.

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5 minutes ago, MDBlueRidge said:

Well done to yourself and RR

So for all the towel throwers, remember, Mostly dead means slightly alive!

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Just a matter time before the Nam show a negative tilt coming right up the coast.   Believe 

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1 minute ago, PA road DAWG said:

Just a matter time before the Nam show a negative tilt coming right up the coast.   Believe 

Is this a joke, or, are you being serious? 

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1 minute ago, Snowcrazed71 said:

Is this a joke, or, are you being serious? 

Dead serious.  

361E85FC-76D6-4B2E-B303-344DAA20DF6C.png

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Just now, PA road DAWG said:

Dead serious.  

361E85FC-76D6-4B2E-B303-344DAA20DF6C.png

:huh-2:

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4 minutes ago, PA road DAWG said:

Just a matter time before the Nam show a negative tilt coming right up the coast.   Believe 

Running out of time, would be impressive if models held serve for 5-6 days lead time. 

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1 minute ago, LUCC said:

Running out of time, would be impressive if models held serve for 5-6 days lead time. 

So looking back on it now what model Showed the Southern solution first?   Gfs right ?

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Sref's now have multiple,members showing 10" of snow for HGR, frederick, and Oakland....

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 Thursday    Friday.   Saturday.    Sunday

     1                 2.              3                4

 

  1+2+3+4=8  Days to figure it out right? I was never good with math :yikes-mouse:

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1 minute ago, shaulov4 said:

 Thursday    Friday.   Saturday.    Sunday

     1                 2.              3                4

 

  1+2+3+4=8  Days to figure it out right? I was never good with math :yikes-mouse:

You sir is mighty fine with the mahtematiks 

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9 minutes ago, PA road DAWG said:

So looking back on it now what model Showed the Southern solution first?   Gfs right ?

Could be a northern dance only to correct south at game time.

Or...

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I am enjoying following this Southern slider--if we can't get any snow, I am hoping that someone who hasn't seen snow in a long time can get a good storm out of this. When storms miss us, they usually come just close enough to give us maximum overcast. If we don't get snow, I hope it stays far enough south that we can get some sun. The second half of October--and all of November--were not only cold but sun-starved in upstate NY.

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4 minutes ago, MDBlueRidge said:

Could be a northern dance only to correct south at game time.

Or...

You live between Hagerstown and Cumberland ?

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35 minutes ago, DarthHokie said:

Unless user error, A Dramatic difference between how pivotal vice tropical tidbits are producing snow maps.

Always is. 

Pivotal is probably closer to outcome but still never tells the tale...

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42 minutes ago, shaulov4 said:

image.png.66e0922c53a1d273c2c68607ac88a18b.png

more of a neutral look 

Page Topper 

I'll still be tracking this storm 20 years down the road

image.thumb.png.06f6c9a5cba4dddd1d8ae283a6bd5267.png

What a weird 500mb pattern... Definitely having trouble with handling energy but again still no real sign that this will be causing a crazy shift.

22 minutes ago, PA road DAWG said:

Just a matter time before the Nam show a negative tilt coming right up the coast.   Believe 

hahahahaha too funny

10 minutes ago, MDBlueRidge said:

Sref's now have multiple,members showing 10" of snow for HGR, frederick, and Oakland....

Ahhh good ol' SREF they sure do know whats up... If I had banked on those through school man I dont know what would have happened.

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3 minutes ago, PA road DAWG said:

You live between Hagerstown and Cumberland ?

That's none of you damn business. 

Split time between cascade, which is on mountain just east of hagerstown, and accident which is in garret county.

Edited by MDBlueRidge

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36 minutes ago, DarthHokie said:

Unless user error, A Dramatic difference between how pivotal vice tropical tidbits are producing snow maps.

Yea pivotal shows precip falling without taking into account evaporation and other factors versus how TT does it. Seems just like an algorithm issue between the two.

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1 minute ago, so_whats_happening said:

What a weird 500mb pattern... Definitely having trouble with handling energy but again still no real sign that this will be causing a crazy shift.

hahahahaha too funny

Ahhh good ol' SREF they sure do know whats up... If I had banked on those through school man I dont know what would have happened.

When they start throwing out crazy numbers I get interested.

But am never shocked by their lack of accuracy. 

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Feel we are on the brink though of some interesting blocking situations down the road the wave-spacing  is just going to throw all sorts of fun probably toward the end of the month?

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2 minutes ago, MDBlueRidge said:

When they start throwing out crazy numbers I get interested.

But am never shocked by their lack of accuracy. 

yea i use to use it mainly for temps because they werent too bad with them but precip is some of the hardest to forecast for hence the outlandish numbers there sometimes.

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1 hour ago, MDBlueRidge said:

Well done to yourself and RR

Princess Bride.

 

Does it count if I did not search Google but just waited for the answer here? 

Edited by Uscg ast

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1 minute ago, Uscg ast said:

Princess Bride.

 

Does it count if I did not search Google but just waited for the answer here? 

You're not a good person. 

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