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White Christmas?

Latest odds and storm events for the holidays tracked

morgdotz

December 6-7, 2018 | Interior Snow Possibility

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Saw this on latest 12z NAM model :winter_smilies_0012:

78069CE0-B07A-491D-B40E-554D827EB7A8.jpeg

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1 minute ago, morgdotz said:

Saw this on latest 12z NAM model :winter_smilies_0012:

78069CE0-B07A-491D-B40E-554D827EB7A8.jpeg

Congratulations on opening your first thread!

Have fun with it and learn as much as you can from the experience.

As a hint to help you bolster the next threads you open, add images from different models and even text discussions from WPC and regional offices, and other data you may see fit.

Will post ECMWF data soon.

 

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Just now, Phased Vort said:

Congratulations on opening your first thread!

Have fun with it and learn as much as you can from the experience.

As a hint to help you bolster the next threads you open, add images from different models and even text discussions from WPC and regional offices, and other data you may see fit.

Will post ECMWF data soon.

 

Thank ya! I’m still learning the ropes around here. 🙂 

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12Z ECMWF:

Webp.net-gifmaker.gif.446f56c0021423a6925bac517b63f8a0.gif940248120_9-kmECMWFUSACitiesundefinedundefined102.thumb.png.d3bf3f795d27000934bcdb1c0be8987a.png

 

Widespread trace to 2 inches and up to 6 inches where lake enhancement occurs.

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HWO

Lake effect snow is expected to develop by Wednesday morning east of
Lake Ontario and continue through Thursday. Lake effect snow will
intensify later Thursday afternoon and evening as a strong cold front
crosses the region. Moderate to locally heavy accumulations are
possible during this period. The greatest accumulations will likely
focus on the northern Tug Hill region where lake effect snow is
expected to be positioned the longest.

 

Source

 

Squall line with the cold front should merge with an existent lake band which should intensify it before heading south across the region..

Edited by Mike W IN ALTMAR

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I think this system could sneak up on those too focused on the potential for a bigger storm next week. 

At the least, I expect this event will results in some winter weather advisories. At the moment, NW PA seems like the most likely spot. 

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So, the other post somehow got deleted :classic_blink: 

Anyways, both NAM & GFS are showing a snow possibility in western PA/NY and E Ohio. 

NAVGEM showing just some possible rain showers, but high in one main city (Pittsburgh) is 32 degrees..

This might be a good set up for you folks out there... hoping for a nice wintery weekend for you all! :classic_love:

 

FullSizeRender.thumb.jpeg.3dfb0d42809c3824dccc508a164c0adf.jpegFullSizeRender-2.thumb.jpeg.aa17af047a906b4dcd0c32ea6dbf1f3b.jpeg

Screen Shot 2018-12-03 at 9.33.44 PM.png

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The original thread has been restored.

The new thread was merged into this one, the original one.

Everything is fine now.

Please let´s continue with the great posts.

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Sorry @morgdotz mix-up somewhere along the lines here and we have been trying to straighten things out. This thread is the lead and should have been all along. Sorry for the confusion.

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Thanks guys! 

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13 minutes ago, Mike W IN ALTMAR said:

48B33CC2-F169-4170-B660-98FB9E76B2F4.png

Seems like a good forecast to me. Should be some good lake effect banding, but I think they will be wavering about more than the high impact LES events. Still not much to get excited about elsewhere, another nuisance event on the western slope of the Appalachians. 

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0z NAM 12k. Quite a "peppy" little coastal enhancement with this "storm."

Spoiler

namconus_ref_frzn_neus_fh23-34.thumb.gif.4b9e57d2c0cbefaf4465c6f80cac9fd6.gif

 

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9 hours ago, Solstice said:

0z NAM 12k. Quite a "peppy" little coastal enhancement with this "storm."

  Hide contents

namconus_ref_frzn_neus_fh23-34.thumb.gif.4b9e57d2c0cbefaf4465c6f80cac9fd6.gif

 

Wow!!

Indeed.

What a nice one!

Pretty robust batch of snow for western Long Island, but especially central and Western CT, western Mass and Rhode Island.

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Not going to be a ton of snow, but I enjoy these 1-2 inch events than can freshen up the ground and not disrupt my plans for the day too.

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Looks like the coldfront has merged with an exiting lake band, this should move through within the next few hours..

codnexlab.NEXRAD.BUF.N0Q.20181206.2112.024ani.gif

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On the Ontario side of things just getting some light snow imby..

Right now just pure lake effect to my north..

Going to be interesting to see how this plays out over the next several hours..

codnexlab.NEXRAD.TYX.N0Q.20181206.2107.012ani.gif

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How has this one gone to those affected? 

Was it nice ?

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17 minutes ago, Phased Vort said:

How has this one gone to those affected? 

Was it nice ?

Started snowing about an hour ago here. Picking up and sticking to surfaces now. Hoping for at least an inch. 

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