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Spring Fever Spreading

Will Spring be on time for your region? Join the Conversation >> Long Range Spring Outlook

snowlover2

Dec. 31-Jan.2 Potential Winter Storm

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19 minutes ago, snowlover2 said:

18z GFS holds most of the energy back in the southwest.

It's just never ending, ridiculous year so far.

gfs_mslp_pcpn_frzn_us_17.png

gfs_mslp_pcpn_frzn_us_28.png

gfs_mslp_pcpn_frzn_us_37 (1).png

gfs_mslp_pcpn_frzn_us_48.png

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2 hours ago, junior said:

Have we remembered that snow pack/baroclinic zone theory?

I remember it rarely coming to fruition even though every storm we hope it will. 

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6z GFS seemed way different (flopped back to its cutter solution).. FV3 also cut more (so snow was further west). To my untrained eyes, Euro has the cutter thing going on. 

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1 hour ago, buckeyegal said:

6z GFS seemed way different (flopped back to its cutter solution).. FV3 also cut more (so snow was further west). To my untrained eyes, Euro has the cutter thing going on. 

 

Screenshot_20181224-082128_Samsung Internet.jpg

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12Z GFS offering a much more favorable active winter pattern to close Dec/open Jan. 

Doesnt include snowpack/baroclinic zone effects from the 28th system that perhaps could amplify as well (as junior mentioned)

Edited by Mulaman984
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32 minutes ago, Central Illinois said:

its been years since we've had a swath of snow (6"+) like that

Peoria and Springfield have received 10.2" and 13.2" respectively this year. Not too shabby

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4 minutes ago, Cary67 said:

Peoria and Springfield have received 10.2" and 13.2" respectively this year. Not too shabby

And I've received 2" and a few trace events. If you want to round it to 3", that's fine. lol

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49 minutes ago, Central Illinois said:

its been years since we've had a swath of snow (6"+) like that

It would be nice to have this happen...

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4 hours ago, Cary67 said:

12Zzzzzz.....lol

Screenshot_20181224-111023_Samsung Internet.jpg

Sadly this would be the storm of the year so far if it planned out

 

Somehow itll end up being 2" of rain like everything this year 

Edited by ohiobuckeye45
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4 minutes ago, ohiobuckeye45 said:

Sadly this would be the storm of the year so far if it planned out

 

Somehow itll end up being 2" of rain like everything this year 

Most of that snow comes from a system on the 30th which we don't have a thread for at least yet. GGEM has it but south and weak and Euro doesn't appear to have it at all. Going to see what the 0z's do and might start a thread for it then.

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25 minutes ago, snowlover2 said:

Most of that snow comes from a system on the 30th which we don't have a thread for at least yet. GGEM has it but south and weak and Euro doesn't appear to have it at all. Going to see what the 0z's do and might start a thread for it then.

Chris Bailey, a met out of KY, put this on his daily blog re the euro and this system: 

This setup is going to be tough on the models, especially the European. All this energy ejecting from the southwest plays right into the biggest flaw of the model. It has a tough time with energy coming from the southwestern part of the US. It will likely show some big time swings.

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7 hours ago, Cary67 said:

Peoria and Springfield have received 10.2" and 13.2" respectively this year. Not too shabby

I'm talking about about a west to east band of 6"+ through the Midwest/OV bowling ball type system

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Some decent hits for Central IL on the latest Euro run as far as the members go on the snow depth maps...

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