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US Wild Weather

Extreme active pattern across the entire US continues, what does it mean for your region? Join the conversion

snowlover2

January 11-13 2019 Winter Storm

Staff Recommended Posts

Posted (edited)

18z GFS headed toward a 12z Euro type solution but some southern energy got held back and didn't get a chance to phase with the energy dropping south through the plains. Took a nice step that way so we'll have to see how it goes from here.

gfs_z500_vort_us_38.png

Edited by snowlover2
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6 hours ago, Hiramite said:

Who in the OV doesn’t like a red “L” over TN moving NE?

Me when there is another L in the lakes.

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40 minutes ago, junior said:

Me when there is another L in the lakes.

Why is that a not so good thing?

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1 hour ago, junior said:

Me when there is another L in the lakes.

Ah, touché. 

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Posted (edited)

0z Euro & 12z close to something big. Plenty of time to wait & see what happens.

 

Screenshot_20190104-010544.jpg

Screenshot_20190104-010157.jpg

 

System in SW has a shot also

Edited by Grace
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9 minutes ago, snowlover2 said:

Seems the 12z runs so far are coming in colder and farther south.

Yeah, seems a trend — last few runs 

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3 hours ago, snowlover2 said:

Seems the 12z runs so far are coming in colder and farther south.

That's what you get for starting a thread so damn early! Lol

I'm just kidding. Lots of changes to go still, could still be something there.

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Can’t post image right now but 18Z GFS seems to continue trend in right direction for this event. 

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6 minutes ago, Mulaman984 said:

Can’t post image right now but 18Z GFS seems to continue trend in right direction for this event. 

 

gfs_asnow_ncus_36.png

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Similar on 18z FV3.

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It's sad that seeing the GFS showing me getting 3" in the next 384 hours is the best GFS run I have seen so far this season...

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4 minutes ago, ohiobuckeye45 said:

NADA via the 00z GFS

0z GGEM on the other hand brings 2 pieces of energy and they phase off the se GA coast, rides up the coast and back nw into PA. End result is nice but not too likely.

gem_mslp_pcpn_frzn_us_33.png

gem_mslp_pcpn_frzn_us_35.png

gem_mslp_pcpn_frzn_us_37.png

gem_mslp_pcpn_frzn_us_40.png

gem_asnow_ncus_40.png

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This setup is interesting, it does look to favor something interesting but the H5s suggests amplification one tick too late.. only thing that saved the CMC from becoming a noreaster is the massive ridge in front/overhead. Atleast we have a storm to track for now.

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5 hours ago, CIWeather said:

It's sad that seeing the GFS showing me getting 3" in the next 384 hours is the best GFS run I have seen so far this season...

Would rather see a miss than another soaking rain from a cutter. There is no cold air available for the midwest in this pattern anyways. Northern stream may phase with it further east to give them a chance. 

 

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7 hours ago, snowlover2 said:

0z GGEM on the other hand brings 2 pieces of energy and they phase off the se GA coast, rides up the coast and back nw into PA. End result is nice but not too likely.

gem_mslp_pcpn_frzn_us_33.png

gem_mslp_pcpn_frzn_us_35.png

gem_mslp_pcpn_frzn_us_37.png

gem_mslp_pcpn_frzn_us_40.png

gem_asnow_ncus_40.png

That second map shows NJ getting roughly 4-6 inches of rain. LUCC may want to get his boat ready.

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15 hours ago, CIWeather said:

It's sad that seeing the GFS showing me getting 3" in the next 384 hours is the best GFS run I have seen so far this season...

Now it's down to zilch for the next 16 days...

gfs_6hr_snow_acc_conus2_65.thumb.png.a36789c08b459886588908424600d4bc.png

I'm praying this pattern changes, or this winter will go down as one of the crappiest winters for many of us.

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From warm and wet to cold and dry. 

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12 hours ago, snowlover2 said:

0z GGEM on the other hand brings 2 pieces of energy and they phase off the se GA coast, rides up the coast and back nw into PA. End result is nice but not too likely.

gem_mslp_pcpn_frzn_us_33.png

gem_mslp_pcpn_frzn_us_35.png

gem_mslp_pcpn_frzn_us_37.png

gem_mslp_pcpn_frzn_us_40.png

gem_asnow_ncus_40.png

12Z cmc kept this interesting solution 

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35 minutes ago, Mulaman984 said:

12Z cmc kept this interesting solution 

Wow interesting. Still not expecting that to happen but can't help to think about it being the first to show Sandy turn back west into the coast days out while the others said no chance.(if I remember correctly)

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