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US Wild Weather

Extreme active pattern across the entire US continues, what does it mean for your region? Join the conversion

snowlover2

January 11-13 2019 Winter Storm

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1 hour ago, weather_boy2010 said:

Now it's down to zilch for the next 16 days...

gfs_6hr_snow_acc_conus2_65.thumb.png.a36789c08b459886588908424600d4bc.png

I'm praying this pattern changes, or this winter will go down as one of the crappiest winters for many of us.

Worse than 2011-12 you think?

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52 minutes ago, buckeyegal said:

From warm and wet to cold and dry. 

That's the way she goes, Rick.

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1 minute ago, NWOhioChaser said:

Worse than 2011-12 you think?

In my opinion, yes. At least by this point that winter we started to cool off, and we actually had a decent amount of snow that January and February.

I’m not ready to write the winter off yet, there’s too many signs that it could abruptly turn around for late month and beyond. It’s still depressing for winter lovers now though.

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19 minutes ago, weather_boy2010 said:

In my opinion, yes. At least by this point that winter we started to cool off, and we actually had a decent amount of snow that January and February.

I’m not ready to write the winter off yet, there’s too many signs that it could abruptly turn around for late month and beyond. It’s still depressing for winter lovers now though.

I feel your pain and as signals keep showing some hope and have been wrong. Like JD and others say it still depends on the PAC flow.

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17 minutes ago, ohiobuckeye45 said:

Not to beat a dead horse for the 1,000th time, but the 12z ECM is a no go 

Looks like it's a no anything...

ecmwf_tsnow_conus2_41.thumb.png.f70c7c9bd62b3ee20e68aaad98f064ea.png

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Posted (edited)
10 minutes ago, Cary67 said:

Blanked in Dec. and now looking to blank January 

Screenshot_20190105-130606_Samsung Internet.jpg

Depressing for sure. Might be a year we see nickel and dime events that don't amount to our annual average.

Edited by weather_boy2010

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4 minutes ago, weather_boy2010 said:

Depressing for sure. Might be a year we see nickel and dime events that don't amount to our annual average.

Should start falling behind snowfall average in a few days at ORD

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1 minute ago, Cary67 said:

Should start falling behind snowfall average in a few days at ORD

Here in NW Indiana, we are already way behind. The station closest to me has recorded only 3.1" thus far, with nothing but trace amounts since November 26th.

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16 minutes ago, ohiobuckeye45 said:

Smh...I've been reduced to calling this a "successful" run IMBY

gfs_mslp_pcpn_frzn_us_27.png

USA_ASNOWI48_sfc_186.gif

Looks better anyway. The northern energy appeared to dig more. Looks like it wouldn't take much more to hook up with that moisture in the south.

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Really shocked at how the 0z EPS MEAN Snow has significantly increased the snow signal. Many really good ensembles. 0z was a big change & nice trend for ensembles

 

Screenshot_20190106-055205.jpg

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Posted (edited)

Fast forward everything shown on the 12 and 18z runs here the first 00z model (icon) showing a weak phase but enough for some to cash in

icon_mslp_pcpn_frzn_ncus_44.png

icon_mslp_pcpn_frzn_ncus_47.png

icon_mslp_pcpn_frzn_ncus_50.png

icon_asnow_ncus_53.png

Edited by ohiobuckeye45
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FV3-GFS is really advertising a big storm....last 3 runs

 

 

Screenshot_20190106-215836.jpg

Screenshot_20190106-215859.jpg

Screenshot_20190106-215917.jpg

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1 minute ago, Grace said:

FV3-GFS is really advertising a big storm....last 3 runs

 

 

Screenshot_20190106-215836.jpg

Screenshot_20190106-215859.jpg

Screenshot_20190106-215917.jpg

This feels very deja vu of the storm that skirted you with the phantom WSW, hopefully not the same result

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Gfs still looks just a little flat, if we could just a little more digging from the northern energy 

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1 minute ago, ohiobuckeye45 said:

Gfs still looks just a little flat, if we could just a little more digging from the northern energy 

Small step towards that vs. 18z

gfs_z500_mslp_us_23.png

gfs_z500_mslp_us_22.png

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Glad we are back. Things definitely got interesting throughout the day.

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