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East Coast Rain Blues

Why cold and snow is out and wet a warm remains the theme in the East, join in the conversation.

Phased Vort

January 12-14, 2019 | Winter Storm

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GFS is pumping out the prizes in the long range. LMAO

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1 minute ago, LUCC said:

GFS is pumping out the prizes in the long range. LMAO

Ahhhh the early 1990's wildwood board walk phrases......

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9 minutes ago, UTSwiinii said:

C'mon PARD - we're onto you now. Double accounts are forbidden 'round here :classic_laugh:

Lmao double account??? I barely have enough time for one account 😉

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hazards_d3_7_contours.thumb.png.d4edeb9e49a5da1c288cdbdc3a787106.png

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3 minutes ago, UTSwiinii said:

hazards_d3_7_contours.thumb.png.d4edeb9e49a5da1c288cdbdc3a787106.png

Up to this point its a mid-Atl Winter, give it to them cause they were starving like we are now the past few years.

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Quote

 

Whatever you guys do... don't look at the long range goofus, specifically hour 385

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7 minutes ago, KENNYP2339 said:

 

Whatever you guys do... don't look at the long range goofus, specifically hour 385

Lmaoo GFS at hour 385 is as reliable as Casey Anthony is as a daycare mother! ;)

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Posted (edited)
5 minutes ago, Winter_warlock said:

Lmaoo GFS at hour 385 is as reliable as Casey Anthony is as a daycare mother! ;) 

You like that joke... I've heard it 4-5 times already, twice in this thread alone, must be hard to keep up with the user names and logging in all the time... right Pard? lololol - sorry warlock 

Edited by KENNYP2339
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10 minutes ago, KENNYP2339 said:

 

Whatever you guys do... don't look at the long range goofus, specifically hour 385

Dont want to be in the jackpot yet!.   models suck 48 hrs out. Yet alone 385 hrs out.

The good sign is winter is slowly coming back to the north east with snow chances showing more.  Well see what happens....  I think most of us will cash in and get to at least avg snowfall btwn now and mid march

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27 minutes ago, PlanetMaster said:

Up to this point its a mid-Atl Winter, give it to them cause they were starving like we are now the past few years.

Delmarva is still starving

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16 minutes ago, KENNYP2339 said:

 

Whatever you guys do... don't look at the long range goofus, specifically hour 385

 

8 minutes ago, Winter_warlock said:

Lmaoo GFS at hour 385 is as reliable as Casey Anthony is as a daycare mother! ;)

 

2 minutes ago, Goalie24 said:

Dont want to be in the jackpot yet!.   models suck 48 hrs out. Yet alone 385 hrs out.

The good sign is winter is slowly coming back to the north east with snow chances showing more.  Well see what happens....  I think most of us will cash in and get to at least avg snowfall btwn now and mid march

 

The GFS doesn't even have a 385 frame though :classic_laugh:!

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32 minutes ago, UTSwiinii said:

hazards_d3_7_contours.thumb.png.d4edeb9e49a5da1c288cdbdc3a787106.png

I don't think they was ever big fans of this riding north.

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2 minutes ago, avsguy said:

Delmarva is still starving

Chuck E Cheese is open

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1 minute ago, Solstice said:

 

 

 

The GFS doesn't even have a 385 frame though :classic_laugh:!

Bruh, I saw it with my own eye's, it was mystical, went from a 1000 to a sub 980 in 12hrs hugging the coast, it was real I tell you, real....

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Well Sterling says it is going to snow just not sure how much.

 

Quote

.LONG TERM /SATURDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...
Saturday into Sunday, an upper level trough will move through the
midwest on Saturday and shift eastward toward the mid-Atlantic
region. A surface low pressure system associated with this upper
level feature will form over Texas and make its way eastward. The
models are disagreeing on the exact track that this surface low will
take this weekend. The European tracks the low up through the
Tennessee River Valley and up through the mid-Atlantic. The Euro
solution is furthest north then the 12Z GFS and Canadian models.
The 12Z GFS model run moves the surface low further southward and
tracks through Alabama, Georgia and the Carolinas. This solution
would bring snow too the Carolinas and northward through southern
PA. The 12Z Canadian splits the European and GFS solutions by
running the low up through north Carolina. These solutions all agree
the region will see some snow this weekend starting sometime late
Saturday morning and continue through Sunday. It is to early to
really tell how much snow will occur but there is upwards potential
depending whether the models track further northward. Cold air
shouldn`t be problem since all models agree that surface
temperatures during the day will be near or below freezing with
overnight temperatures in the teens and 20s.

Monday into Tuesday, weak high pressure builds into the region from
the southwest. Winds will be mainly out of the northwest leading to
day time temperatures remaining in the 30s with overnight
temperatures in the teens and 20s. As winds will be west to
northwesterly, upslope induced snow showers will be possible.

 

 

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Just as @UTSwiinii gets me all excited about FV3 XXX, the show begins.  Local high school just cancelled Saturdays basketball game due to forcasted snow

 

 

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2 hours ago, PlanetMaster said:

You're on the North Shore , if you see any flakes up there I will make you supreme leader of WX Disco for a day. LOL, no chance IMHO. The_Wish_Casting_Monkey

 I was being a bit of a funny guy. Hopefully the next system will drop something up here in the upper mid atlantic, besides rain. Winter is dragging. 

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5 minutes ago, Mtksurfer said:

 I was being a bit of a funny guy. Hopefully the next system will drop something up here in the upper mid atlantic, besides rain. Winter is dragging. 

Come cut firewood with me on Sunday, I could use the extra hand lol 

 

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Man the GEFS Mean leaves a lot left on the table for wiggle. Look at those clusters of redevelopment. Also the trend is quite astounding.

gfs-ememb_lowlocs_us_19.png

 

gfs-ememb_lowlocs_eus_fh108_trend.gif

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FV3 has the Delmarva temps about dead nuts on for what's the norm (although not really sure normal exists anymore).

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2 hours ago, LUCC said:

18z separates the overruning and the soon to be coastal, HP is 1mb weaker and a touch NW. 

 If I had a nickel for every time I heard North and West, I'd at least be able to buy my own snow making machine and not have to worry about these long range models, forums, or even Snobal

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The latest GFS is getting interesting.... :classic_tongue: i'm okay with any snow at this point

gfs_mslp_pcpn_frzn_us_fh66-138.gif

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22 minutes ago, morgdotz said:

The latest GFS is getting interesting.... :classic_tongue: i'm okay with any snow at this point

 

Unfortunately it looks like there a small pulse north east, but that's all it is, the atlantic ocean has its welcome mat out and that Yukon high will help keep the small over running snow shield from gaining to much traction north of Philly at this point

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