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US Major Winter Storm

Big snow maker to cross country into this weekend, join the conversation!

Phased Vort

January 12-14, 2019 | Winter Storm

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4 minutes ago, Psu1313 said:

The model thread the needle to prove you wrong but can the actual storm? The PARD letdown meter has risen to 

Isnt that the guy who was ready to give up on winter, when we go through this exact situation mostly every year forthe last 10

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2 minutes ago, shaulov4 said:

This is totally irresponsible but I am totally buying the GFS, biased yes, Do I want this yes, does this solution make sense yes... so I am fully in.

you have to fight it. 

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4 minutes ago, Psu1313 said:

The model thread the needle to prove you wrong but can the actual storm? The PARD letdown meter has risen to 8. 

My main concern is how this looks.  Everything looks great at the surface but this is forward leaning progressive.   The big cold HP air helps aid in precip expansion.  

5A3BF1E7-7438-4597-803F-C5F55B62176F.png

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4 minutes ago, MDBlueRidge said:

fixed. 

Ty . My mix up :)

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12Z CMC is a monster....

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Just now, Phased Vort said:

12Z CMC is a monster....

It hurts our chances. 

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Just now, PA road DAWG said:

My main concern is how this looks.  Everything looks great at the surface but this is forward leaning progressive.   The big cold HP air helps aid in precip expansion.  

5A3BF1E7-7438-4597-803F-C5F55B62176F.png

Correct. Take a look at the GEM when you have a moment and look at the track vs the track of the low on the GFS. I know for a fact I don't buy what the GEM is selling. I'm intrigued by the GFS because it seems somewhat plausible. 

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18 minutes ago, MDBlueRidge said:

down goes Fraizer! 

 

MDBR.JPG

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5 minutes ago, Winter_warlock said:

Of only we could get euro and cmc looking like GFS.. 12Z Euro and cmc should be intresting

 

 

Overnight Euro wasn't that far off...seemed like a coastal grazer. It was a definite improvement from yesterday's 12z run at least...better axis which went more sw to ne. Let's see what Ukie & Euro come in with today, but thinking I-95 corridor through the metros are going to like this one...

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7 minutes ago, Phased Vort said:

12Z CMC is a monster....

It´s so phased, Phased Vort, :classic_laugh: , that it manages to trigger a beautiful Miller A, and obliterates Maine. 

@MaineJay, would have no more the state of Maine to live...

gem_mslp_pcpn_frzn_us_fh132-228.gif.5f916faa4af27ac48ca82bca7e474ee8.gif

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3 minutes ago, Phased Vort said:

12Z CMC is a monster....

Yea it hits @MaineJay like a sledge hammer

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2 minutes ago, Phased Vort said:

It´s sho phased, Phased Vort, lol, that it manages to trigger a beautiful Miller A, and obliterates Maine. 

@MaineJay, would have no more the state of Maine to live...

gem_mslp_pcpn_frzn_us_fh132-228.gif.5f916faa4af27ac48ca82bca7e474ee8.gif

It is a beautiful run. 

Lets see if ukie wet blankets us. 

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2 minutes ago, Miller A said:

 

MDBR.JPG

Shhhh - if we make him our adjunct announcer he'll think he's some sort of moderator or something

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25 minutes ago, Winter_warlock said:

Of only we could get euro and cmc looking like GFS.. 12Z Euro and cmc should be intresting

 

 

Well, you got part of your wish.

The CMC is a stupendous as a storm. Of course, western areas did not get much snow.

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The cmc triple phases and makes Maine almost disappear.  mainejay, I have an extra bedroom if u need a place to stay  

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5 minutes ago, KENNYP2339 said:

Yea it hits @MaineJay like a sledge hammer

I have to try and find my shocked face :dance4:

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This is a nice way to perk up a dreary Monday morning.  Looks like more posts this morning than in the past week. 

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I was just thinking that we haven't seen many sub 985mb storms this year on model runs.  

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4 minutes ago, PA road DAWG said:

The cmc triple phases and makes Maine almost disappear.  mainejay, I have an extra bedroom if u need a place to stay  

Aren't we all heading to MJ's if thats the case?

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5 minutes ago, PA road DAWG said:

The cmc triple phases and makes Maine almost disappear.  mainejay, I have an extra bedroom if u need a place to stay  

For Maine would be probably the storm of this century. Saying that just to make people feel how jupiterian or jovian that CMC storm would be for Maine...

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Just now, StretchCT said:

Aren't we all heading to MJ's if thats the case?

I´d love that.

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gem_asnow_neus_13.png

 

gem_asnow_neus_40.png

Subtract the top image from the bottom

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4 minutes ago, StretchCT said:

Aren't we all heading to MJ's if thats the case?

Theres a guy in NE PA who will bring the steaks

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