Jump to content
Search In
  • More options...
Find results that contain...
Find results in...
US Major Winter Storm

Big snow maker to cross country into this weekend, join the conversation!

Phased Vort

January 12-14, 2019 | Winter Storm

Staff Recommended Posts

4 minutes ago, MDBlueRidge said:

Been flurrying since noon. 27F and now snow. 

Full disclosure were back in the cascade home front for this one. 

You might luck out better there then the other place. I got lasagna in the oven, wood stove cranking, colts game going

  • Like 1

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
17 minutes ago, UTSwiinii said:

To think - the storm center is still just W of the MS River 

Yup, this is fun. Man this puppy slowed , and much bigger than moi expected.

  • Like 1

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
1 minute ago, KENNYP2339 said:

You might luck out better there then the other place. I got lasagna in the oven, wood stove cranking, colts game going

Glad to get at least 1 snow playoff game.

  • Like 1

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
1 minute ago, RTC2 said:

Yup, this is fun. Man this puppy slowed , and much bigger than moi expected.

Slowly saturating the column as I watch the cloud deck creep lower, but slowly. I'm trying to save myself for some late night fun later :classic_wink:

  • Like 1

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

image.thumb.png.e30d2bcb340b389e19ddd94d4b1de4a9.png

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
1 minute ago, avsguy said:

image.thumb.png.e30d2bcb340b389e19ddd94d4b1de4a9.png

 

That's a big storm.

  • Like 1

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

It has gone from light snow to medium. snow IMBY Litterally

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

Correction it is now borderline puking snow.

 

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
1 minute ago, konka said:

 

That's a big storm.

Over running storms always are - or are more apt to be than are wound up coastal storms anyway

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
4 minutes ago, UTSwiinii said:

Slowly saturating the column as I watch the cloud deck creep lower, but slowly. I'm trying to save myself for some late night fun later :classic_wink:

Long save here. Dew 9, rh 40. So I must pace the alcohol drip. Will be a long night, as want to see it snow but will probably wait a long time with this dry air.

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
4 minutes ago, UTSwiinii said:

Over running storms always are - or are more apt to be than are wound up coastal storms anyway

Great point, I am rusty.

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
1 minute ago, RTC2 said:

Long save here. Dew 9, rh 40. So I must pace the alcohol drip. Will be a long night, as want to see it snow but will probably wait a long time with this dry air.

I was at 8 4 hours ago, now up to 13. Progress

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

HRRR at 36 hours.

 

 

Screen Shot 2019-01-12 at 5.01.22 PM.png

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
37 minutes ago, ryanduff said:

Bit of a shift on the NAM. Compared to previous run animation.

namconus_asnow_neus_fh39_trend.thumb.gif.b2d087cfe9cb4d0debc4db83fbef2cef.gif

A big shift ?? Lol I went from 3” to 13” in one run .. how accurate can this be ? We currently have an advisory for 2-3”  should we discount this model and look at short range ones now or is this a legit threat now ? 

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
2 minutes ago, Jblizz68 said:

A big shift ?? Lol I went from 3” to 13” in one run .. how accurate can this be ? We currently have an advisory for 2-3”  should we discount this model and look at short range ones now or is this a legit threat now ? 

It shifted the other way. From 13" to 3".

  • Like 1

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
1 minute ago, Jblizz68 said:

A big shift ?? Lol I went from 3” to 13” in one run .. how accurate can this be ? We currently have an advisory for 2-3”  should we discount this model and look at short range ones now or is this a legit threat now ? 

Um - that is a short range model. 

But to the point - best to just go into Observation at this point, and toss the models almost completely

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
1 minute ago, Jblizz68 said:

A big shift ?? Lol I went from 3” to 13” in one run .. how accurate can this be ? We currently have an advisory for 2-3”  should we discount this model and look at short range ones now or is this a legit threat now ? 

It could happen, but stay tuned. Cutoffs with the big hammer and confluence are drastic and volatile.

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
Just now, RTC2 said:

It could happen, but stay tuned. Cutoffs with the big hammer and confluence are drastic and volatile.

Yep - all about radar, metar and sat views, maybe look at SPC RAP every so so. 

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

Flurries started  just east of Baltimore.  Temp 31, DP 19

Edited by Skipjack

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
2 minutes ago, Jblizz68 said:

A big shift ?? Lol I went from 3” to 13” in one run .. how accurate can this be ? We currently have an advisory for 2-3”  should we discount this model and look at short range ones now or is this a legit threat now ? 

Technically you went from 13 to 3 (12z to 18z) but I digress. I'd use it to say there is a possibility for a boom but the likelihood is still a bit doubtful. We'll see how the bands set up though. Light snow and 27 degrees here just north of Pittsburgh. We have a coating so far. I've had DC at 4-8 for 48 hours but I'm starting to think it's more of a 6-10 event down there with an official reading of 5 at DCA because it's DCA. 

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

Light snow/flurries started within past 5 minutes here (Timonium, MD ~15 mi. N of Baltimore City)

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
2 minutes ago, Psu1313 said:

Technically you went from 13 to 3 (12z to 18z) but I digress. I'd use it to say there is a possibility for a boom but the likelihood is still a bit doubtful. We'll see how the bands set up though. Light snow and 27 degrees here just north of Pittsburgh. We have a coating so far. I've had DC at 4-8 for 48 hours but I'm starting to think it's more of a 6-10 event down there with an official reading of 5 at DCA because it's DCA. 

NOt even technically - it's actually. 

Good call on those DC tot's

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
27 minutes ago, KENNYP2339 said:

You might luck out better there then the other place. I got lasagna in the oven, wood stove cranking, colts game going

You may be right. And this is more fun. Upslope snow is great. But lonely. 

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
4 minutes ago, UTSwiinii said:

Um - that is a short range model. 

But to the point - best to just go into Observation at this point, and toss the models almost completely

Lol yes NAM is short but I thought the rapid refresh and HRRR models were even shorter for some reason lol... I agree 100% it’s down to observation .. it’s currehtly overcast here and got a weather update saying snow begins at 5:38 ..thanks again 

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

Create an account or sign in to comment

You need to be a member in order to leave a comment

Create an account

Sign up for a new account in our community. It's easy!

Register a new account

Sign in

Already have an account? Sign in here.

Sign In Now

  • Recently Browsing   0 members

    No registered users viewing this page.

×