Jump to content
Search In
  • More options...
Find results that contain...
Find results in...
US Wild Weather

Extreme active pattern across the entire US continues, what does it mean for your region? Join the conversion

snowlover2

January 18-20 2019 Winter Storm

Solstice

A joint album with the Northeast/Mid-Atlantic region has been created. Link is below.

 

Message added by Solstice

Staff Recommended Posts

Ok, I need some help from someone with a little more knowledge than me.  Both of these are for the FV3 GFS for Hr. 162, one from Tropical Tidbits and one from Pivotal Weather.  How are the amounts so different, especially in Ohio?

 

 

Next Storm Tropical.png

Next Storm.png

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
25 minutes ago, CIWeather said:

Ok, I need some help from someone with a little more knowledge than me.  Both of these are for the FV3 GFS for Hr. 162, one from Tropical Tidbits and one from Pivotal Weather.  How are the amounts so different, especially in Ohio?

 

 

Next Storm Tropical.png

Next Storm.png

Counts sleet as snow on ttb. 

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

Euro looks really nice. Beautiful gradient and cold air. 

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
Just now, junior said:

Counts sleet as snow on ttb. 

That would be a heck of a lot of sleet in Ohio then!

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
1 minute ago, junior said:

Euro looks really nice. Beautiful gradient and cold air. 

Yeah. I just hate only having access to snow depth maps lol. Can't tell what's from the storm next weekend and what's from already being on the ground

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

Euro basically a repeat of todays snow zones but stronger and higher amounts. Can’t post on phone. 

Edited by junior
  • Like 1

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

Said this a few days ago and I'll say it again... watch out for suppression here... the Euro images Central Illinois posted demonstrates that well. It's not suppressed on this run, but the way that strong high is positioned freaks me out.

  • Like 2

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
2 minutes ago, ClicheVortex2014 said:

Nice bowling ball-like system on Euro

o6K7cCk.png

Haven't had one of those for a while!

  • Love it! 1

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

Lol there are quite a few Euro member runs that would make everyone here happy and also history. Check them out if you want to salivate. Member 30 please. 

  • Like 1

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

Oh Euro.  As is often said, tracking this will be interesting.  If I am to miss, I rather miss on the cold side.  I rather not have rain.  The text IMBY are pretty wild.  Kind of a best case scenario for wintryness.

 

 

image.thumb.png.f6b35c450a8dcba4d84f28d29c9c5a6b.png

Edited by RobB
  • Like 2
  • Wow! 1

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
2 minutes ago, RobB said:

Oh Euro.  As is often said, tracking this will be interesting.  If I am to miss, I rather miss on the cold side.  I rather not have rain.  The text IMBY are pretty wild.  Kind of a est case scenario for wintryness.

 

 

image.thumb.png.f6b35c450a8dcba4d84f28d29c9c5a6b.png

COU @RobB?

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
Just now, jdrenken said:

COU @RobB?

image.png.467a6805bed847fafc3b615cf104d6c1.png

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

How do the euro ensembles look? Pretty consistent in track/strength?

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
1 hour ago, RobB said:

image.png.467a6805bed847fafc3b615cf104d6c1.png

KIND Rob?  Thx

  • Love it! 1

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

Single voice in the wilderness. Don't like the fact the Euro has shown consistency for a more southerly solution. Weather does like to repeat itself. Springfield Il snow capital of 2019?.😄

Screenshot_20190113-075448_Samsung Internet.jpg

Screenshot_20190113-075042_Samsung Internet.jpg

Edited by Cary67

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
IWX def has eyes on this already

.LONG TERM...(Monday Night through Saturday)
Issued at 302 AM EST Sun Jan 13 2019

Low amplitude/split flow will persist into mid-late week with no
major storm systems and near normal temperatures. Weak return
flow/WAA Tuesday into Tuesday Night may allow some low stratus to
fill in across the region. Models are even printing out some very
light QPF across mainly northern zones later Monday night through
Tuesday night as low levels moisten under a strengthening inversion.
This in conjunction with a weak near sfc trough attempting to drop
into the Lower Great Lakes hints at the threat for patchy drizzle.
Held off on including in the grids for now but something to consider
going forward with temps near the freezing mark. Glancing blow of
some drier/cooler air then on Wednesday may give way to some
partial sunshine.

Confidence diminishes by Thursday-Friday as models continue to
struggle with disorganized pacific energy expected to cut quickly
east through the Midwest. The associated shot of weak warm
advection/isentropic ascent with this energy could bring a light
wintry mix by around Thursday-Friday AM.

The signal for a more significant winter storm (somewhere in the
Midwest) remains then into next weekend as arctic air sinks
southward from Canada and an upper trough ejects east out of the
Rockies. System will likely have ample moisture and good
baroclinicity to work with making it something to closely monitor
into the upcoming week.
  • Like 2

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
6 minutes ago, GRR said:

KIND Rob?  Thx

Yeah, I'll post just this one more since this thing is still in model fantasy land..

You are welcome!

image.thumb.png.d78645b21084e5e50680bfd1c4d5e9c9.png

  • Like 1
  • Thanks 1

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
21 minutes ago, Cary67 said:

Single voice in the wilderness. Don't like the fact the Euro has shown consistency for a more southerly solution. Weather does like to repeat itself. Springfield Il snow capital of 2019?.😄

Screenshot_20190113-075448_Samsung Internet.jpg

Screenshot_20190113-075042_Samsung Internet.jpg

this works

 

 

image.png.13d7d0861e5c99211ecfcb0d74164078.png

  • Like 1

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
17 minutes ago, RobB said:

Yeah, I'll post just this one more since this thing is still in model fantasy land..

You are welcome!

image.thumb.png.d78645b21084e5e50680bfd1c4d5e9c9.png

Oh, heck, Rob. Could you post CMH? Because why not. And thanks much!

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
3 minutes ago, buckeyegal said:

Oh, heck, Rob. Could you post CMH? Because why not. And thanks much!

:O) You are welcome!

image.png.ffc6b973a32eb385b50b0e397c50f03a.png

  • Thanks 1
  • Wow! 1

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
1 minute ago, RobB said:

:O) You are welcome!

image.png.ffc6b973a32eb385b50b0e397c50f03a.png

Wow. It's too bad the chances of that actually happening are so tiny. Because wow.

  • Like 1

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

This would be magical. However, I'm not letting myself get excited at this point thanks to what I've learned from you all. It's going to be fun to watch and learn from this point though.

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

Create an account or sign in to comment

You need to be a member in order to leave a comment

Create an account

Sign up for a new account in our community. It's easy!

Register a new account

Sign in

Already have an account? Sign in here.

Sign In Now

  • Recently Browsing   0 members

    No registered users viewing this page.

×