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US Wild Weather

Extreme active pattern across the entire US continues, what does it mean for your region? Join the conversion

ohiobuckeye45

January 24th Winter storm

Staff Recommended Posts

The trend of the trailing secondary along the cold front has come progressively west

gfs_mslp_pcpn_frzn_eus_20.png

gfs_mslp_pcpn_frzn_eus_21.png

gfs_mslp_pcpn_frzn_eus_22.png

Cmc

gem_mslp_pcpn_frzn_eus_20.png

gem_mslp_pcpn_frzn_eus_21.png

gem_mslp_pcpn_frzn_eus_22.png

Edited by ohiobuckeye45

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4 minutes ago, ohiobuckeye45 said:

Hot off the press holy crap.

download (18).png

download (16).png

download (17).png

UKMET 17 km East Coast USA 6-h Precipitation (1).gif

Yes please 😂😂😂. But one storm at a time.

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1 minute ago, Snow_____ said:

Yes please 😂😂😂. But one storm at a time.

Gotta keep em rolling 😂 think of where we were 1 week ago at this time and where we are now. And this one is 2 days earlier

 

FV3 not quite as west but still trending that way

fv3p_mslp_pcpn_frzn_eus_20.png

fv3p_mslp_pcpn_frzn_eus_21.png

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At this point, I'll take what I can get. :classic_tongue:

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I Presume the further west the cutter is on Tuesday the further west the secondary develops and catches a phase 

Edited by ohiobuckeye45

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Are Canadians welcomed as well?

Toronto was highly robbed from the current system, at one point during the week it showed a foot for us, we'll be lucky to get even 1cm tmr. 

If this pans out ideally, Toronto could be in the jackpot, but then again, we were in the jackpot one week out last week and look where we are now lol

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14 minutes ago, ohiobuckeye45 said:

I Presume the further west the cutter is on Tuesday the further west the secondary develops and catches a phase 

Well heck, if that's the case I hope the freaking cutter (which I've been super pissed about) goes thru Minneapolis! :classic_laugh:

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4 hours ago, JW9304 said:

Are Canadians welcomed as well?

Toronto was highly robbed from the current system, at one point during the week it showed a foot for us, we'll be lucky to get even 1cm tmr. 

If this pans out ideally, Toronto could be in the jackpot, but then again, we were in the jackpot one week out last week and look where we are now lol

Certainly!! The more the merrier!

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WPC Day 6. (Hopefully they do as well as they did with the current storm).

98DACFFF-3136-49CE-BD85-CCC468B59C7F.png

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Sooo....a lot of people who are cashing in with the current storm get even more? What will it take for us to get more than 4" at time here?...

Edited by NWOhioChaser

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46 minutes ago, NWOhioChaser said:

Sooo....a lot of people who are cashing in with the current storm get even more? What will it take for us to get more than 4" at time here?...

Yea, wasn't really the pattern change I was expecting.

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What I don't understand is why everyone is getting so down already, did we learn nothing from our current storm? Remember all of the excitement on days five and six for our current storm, and how much things have changed since?

With the means progressively west, I'd expect nothing less as we head into the next several days:

Euro ENS MSLP 1/17 00z:

eps_slp_lows_east_31.thumb.png.b33ff8a07e84f423dd9ab88439cfd790.png

Euro ENS MSLP 1/17 12z:

eps_slp_lows_east_29.thumb.png.8ea614ae1891c97fc789c7957b432e29.png

Euro ENS MSLP 1/18 00z:

eps_slp_lows_east_27.thumb.png.b359b0f8f0a45bddd9ae52a516bbd378.png

Euro ENS MSLP 1/18 12z:

eps_slp_lows_east_25.thumb.png.a7fad856362dd31ac7dbc279de2ed0f6.png

Euro ENS MSLP 1/19 00z:

eps_slp_lows_east_23.thumb.png.9872ced134f719c6ae073dafaf3ec265.png

To be honest, with a progression like this, and at five days out, I'm comfortable being a distance west of the forecast low. It's a complicated setup with phasing involved, so we are bound to see lots of changes in the coming days!

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The 6Z GFS brought some promise for around the 26th... Not sure if this should be considered part of this thread or not.

snow.png

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The 00z ecm, 6z GFS/FV3 went back east. Took a good deal of the ensembles with it

gfs-ememb_lowlocs_eus_22.png

Just now, easton229 said:

The 6Z GFS brought some promise for around the 26th... Not sure if this should be considered part of this thread or not.

snow.png

That's a storm that looks to kick off the clipper train

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I have a bad habit of creating threads 12 hours too early 😂 the 12z suite (so far) was a hiccup being that far west

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3 hours ago, easton229 said:

Anyone have the Euro for this?

It was back way east, similar to GFS 

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12 hours ago, weather_boy2010 said:

What I don't understand is why everyone is getting so down already, did we learn nothing from our current storm? Remember all of the excitement on days five and six for our current storm, and how much things have changed since?

With the means progressively west, I'd expect nothing less as we head into the next several days:

Euro ENS MSLP 1/17 00z:

eps_slp_lows_east_31.thumb.png.b33ff8a07e84f423dd9ab88439cfd790.png

Euro ENS MSLP 1/17 12z:

eps_slp_lows_east_29.thumb.png.8ea614ae1891c97fc789c7957b432e29.png

Euro ENS MSLP 1/18 00z:

eps_slp_lows_east_27.thumb.png.b359b0f8f0a45bddd9ae52a516bbd378.png

Euro ENS MSLP 1/18 12z:

eps_slp_lows_east_25.thumb.png.a7fad856362dd31ac7dbc279de2ed0f6.png

Euro ENS MSLP 1/19 00z:

eps_slp_lows_east_23.thumb.png.9872ced134f719c6ae073dafaf3ec265.png

To be honest, with a progression like this, and at five days out, I'm comfortable being a distance west of the forecast low. It's a complicated setup with phasing involved, so we are bound to see lots of changes in the coming days!

I guess that depends on which side of this current storm you are on. 😂🤣

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3 hours ago, ohiobuckeye45 said:

@BigMirg as of now, your probably the only one left who has a legitimate shot at this one. FV3,CMC,UK

Keep me posted! Lol

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