ohiobuckeye45 823 Posted January 20 Of all the energy coming down currently being modeled this one seems to have highest potential where the biggest question becomes how high are my ratios Gfs and ECM Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
snowlover2 178 Posted January 21 0z GFS appears more robust. First image is the snowfall for IL/W IN and the second is the rest of IN/OH. Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
JW9304 7 Posted January 21 37 minutes ago, snowlover2 said: 0z GFS appears more robust. First image is the snowfall for IL/W IN and the second is the rest of IN/OH. You got a zoomed out version of that map to show Toronto too? Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
snowlover2 178 Posted January 21 6 minutes ago, JW9304 said: You got a zoomed out version of that map to show Toronto too? Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
JW9304 7 Posted January 21 8 minutes ago, snowlover2 said: Thanks! Looks like a coating at this point :| Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
Snow_____ 177 Posted January 21 I’m liking these weekend things. Doesn’t disrupt things lol. 1 Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
TheBlizzardOf1978 46 Posted January 21 Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Indianapolis IN 1146 PM EST Sun Jan 20 2019 LONG TERM /Wednesday Night through Sunday/... Issued at 206 PM EST Sun Jan 20 2019 Ensembles suggest an anomalously deep upper trough will develop over the Great Lakes during this period. Ensembles are in fairly good agreement in bringing a cold front through the area in the Thursday afternoon to Friday morning time frame. Will go with chance PoPs for snow showers during those periods. Light accumulations are possible. The ensembles are in general agreement in suggesting a disturbance will drop southeast into the long wave trough next weekend. There is a large spread among the individual members at this time as to the track and intensity of the associated surface surface system. Will go with chance PoPs for snow from Friday night into Sunday morning to cover this potential system. Additional accumulations are possible here as well. Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
MesoscaleBanding 623 Posted January 21 (edited) We're due for one of those clipper systems than looks fairly average in the long range, but gets a QPF bump as the event nears & turns into a nice, fluffy 3-5"+ isolated lollipops event. We will need it after possibly losing half or more of our snowpack Tues. night/Wed. :( Edited January 21 by MesoscaleBanding 2 Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
MesoscaleBanding 623 Posted January 21 ICON showing a GOM connection Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
snowlover2 178 Posted January 21 1 hour ago, MesoscaleBanding said: ICON showing a GOM connection 12z GGEM appears to as well. Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
ohiobuckeye45 823 Posted January 21 no mixing issues on this one lol 4 Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
WillT 7 Posted January 21 4 minutes ago, ohiobuckeye45 said: no mixing issues on this one lol Lock it in! 😂 Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
ohiobuckeye45 823 Posted January 21 7 minutes ago, ohiobuckeye45 said: no mixing issues on this one lol Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
ohiobuckeye45 823 Posted January 21 12z UK, I included Friday's weak energy just for fun. No thread for it yet but its also pretty much there on all models of varying intensity, just weaker than Sundays 1 Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
weather_boy2010 390 Posted January 21 Personally, I'm looking forward to the clipper-train that is appearing on the horizon. They tend to make more people than unhappy and can fluff up small amounts of QPF into impressive snowfall totals. Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
Hassaywx1990 157 Posted January 21 11 minutes ago, ohiobuckeye45 said: If I get 7 off of this I swear to god 😂 I’m expecting 2-4 honestly clippers this time of year safe bet with lake enhancement but hey if that GOM connection happens get the plows ready 1 Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
weather_boy2010 390 Posted January 21 1 hour ago, ohiobuckeye45 said: Check out the airmass it dislodges also... Those are temps at 11am CST. I wouldn't put much stock into it though as it tends to over-hype the severity of cold airmasses. Although, in a cold regime, it does tend to do pretty well. So who knows... Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
buckeyegal 240 Posted January 21 I will never forget the one (VERY cold) clipper we got a few years ago that was supposed to give us a nice 2"-3".. and then there was a sudden and dramatic shift to bring Central Ohio into a very narrow band of 6"-7". It was awesome. 1 Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
WeatherMonger 610 Posted January 21 I remember one several years ago, somehow slipped through without a long/medium range thread. Chicago Storm(that's how long ago) created the thread like 24-36hours out. Ended up with WSWarnings from IA to OH with a broad 6"+ event. Still not sure how it slipped through the cracks without a thread for so long. Been longing ffor one of them type clippers ever since, pretty sure it tapped the gulf as well. 3 Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
ZumaRat 24 Posted January 21 (edited) (Sorry, off topic, but...) Ok so those last few comments about sneaky snows got me thinking about a snow event that happened maybe 10 years ago west of Dayton. I want to say it was somewhere in Preble County... maybe close to Eaton? Nobody else in the area got any snow that day (at least no amount of interest) but there was this ever-so-small area in Preble County that just got dumped on. I wish I could recall specifics but all I remember was watching radar and it was like this small stationary blob that just sat in the same place all afternoon. I'm not even sure how that's possible and I know I sound crazy but do any Miami Valley posters remember this and can shed any light on specifics? I could be off on my date too but I know it had to be at least 8-10.. maybe more years ago. Edited January 21 by ZumaRat Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
Ingyball 184 Posted January 21 A good chunk of the GOM has positive anomalies right now, which could help make a gulf connection interesting. Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
weather_boy2010 390 Posted January 21 36 minutes ago, ohiobuckeye45 said: ECM 10:1 I'm thinking someday I will need to build myself a cabin in the Tug Hill region... Share this post Link to post Share on other sites