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Spring Fever Spreading

Will Spring be on time for your region? Join the Conversation >> Long Range Spring Outlook

MesoscaleBanding

February 6-??? OV/GL Heavy rains and flooding

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5 minutes ago, MesoscaleBanding said:

12z GFS has 3 waves...As of now, wave 2 looks to be the strongest

 

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Actually, GFS has a 4th wave on Fri. night/Sat. - This is going to be a nightmare for models to sort out over the next week.

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Edited by MesoscaleBanding

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Gfs was terrible here. Lots of rain finishing with a bit of ice. 

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This one screams ice storm for somebody! Yes the models will be crazy, no way of figuring out where that front is going to drape over until right before it happens 

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The current Canadian & ICON runs would be a cold, flooding rainstorm around here. Yuck.

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I have a flight out of JFK Friday morning Feb 8th. I can guarantee alot of snow and ice finally for the NYC area:negative:

 

Sorry, I wound up in the OV thread.

Edited by suzook
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34 minutes ago, suzook said:

I have a flight out of JFK Friday morning Feb 8th. I can guarantee alot of snow and ice finally for the NYC area:negative:

 

Sorry, I wound up in the OV thread.

Welcome to the party! Safe Flight! 

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2 hours ago, suzook said:

I have a flight out of JFK Friday morning Feb 8th. I can guarantee alot of snow and ice finally for the NYC area:negative:

 

Sorry, I wound up in the OV thread.

 

IMG_8673.GIF

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2 hours ago, MesoscaleBanding said:

Latest FV3

 

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UMMM, screw that.

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18z GFS - that ice is just crazy talk

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8 minutes ago, MesoscaleBanding said:

18z GFS - that ice is just crazy talk

gfs.png

 

 

Has ice at this stage ever verified? This scenario is pretty unlikely. 

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I use to say that chisnow until I lived through it about 5 or 7 years ago. Had 1.5 inches of rain, all frozen. This is going to be a wild ride and something to watch closely. 

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1 minute ago, Vtownsnow said:

I use to say that chisnow until I lived through it about 5 or 7 years ago. Had 1.5 inches of rain, all frozen. This is going to be a wild ride and something to watch closely. 

My hometown got close to 2" of ice in '09, I know it can happen, but it's still rare. I just have noticed models have a tendency to forecast much more ice several days away than what will eventually transpire. Watch the event certainly, but expect changes. Nothing you don't already know, just clarifying. 

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12 hours ago, Hiramite said:

A bit of a reflection starting to show up on the Day 7 WPC outlook.

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WPC Day 7 update 

 

43D9580D-7BC2-4B35-8D2F-2E97995A6ECD.gif

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I'd rather see something wintry than basically 4 heavy rain cutters ugh, no thanks. Hopefully we get some clarification this weekend. I'd imagine that they combine in to 2 bigger more powerful cutters but hope not

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30 minutes ago, ohiobuckeye45 said:

I'd rather see something wintry than basically 4 heavy rain cutters ugh, no thanks. Hopefully we get some clarification this weekend. I'd imagine that they combine in to 2 bigger more powerful cutters but hope not

I'd rather have a cutter than a suppressed storm like some of the models were showing. I'd rather get rain then have everything cold and suppressed. 

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2 hours ago, Ingyball said:

I'd rather have a cutter than a suppressed storm like some of the models were showing. I'd rather get rain then have everything cold and suppressed. 

Suppressed may be my shot at a decent snow lol

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9 hours ago, Ingyball said:

I'd rather have a cutter than a suppressed storm like some of the models were showing. I'd rather get rain then have everything cold and suppressed. 

Here you go then lol, every single drop of every storm is pure liquid form

Something better change fast or this stretch might be as, if not more brutal than December 

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Edited by ohiobuckeye45

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From ILX HWO

 

Quote

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY...

A storm system will bring the chance for some light freezing rain
to the area overnight Tuesday night into Wednesday morning.

A more significant storm system is forecast to impact the area
Wednesday night into Thursday night. The storm track will
determine the precipitation type. At this time rain and snow are
likely but there may also be a risk of some freezing rain. It is
too early to determine potential ice and snowfall amounts.

 

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Total snow, ice, precip through Fri. evening on the 12z GFS:

 

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