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US Wild Weather

Extreme active pattern across the entire US continues, what does it mean for your region? Join the conversion

PA road DAWG

February 12-13, 2019 | Winter Storm

Staff Recommended Posts

GFS speeding up the storm just a bit, this may lead to less southern/northern interaction which will perhaps allow the storm we want.

image.png.729ac5bb48e48ad9ca827d57a4b72bbd.png

Initially more robust as well, dates may vary as many have been mentioning

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We may even have a suppressed scenario here.....but to early to tell...spoke to soon snow deprived🤪

Edited by shaulov4

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image.png.1f3f6cde90cd10669b20cb269e511605.png

If we get a transfer off the Carolinas this will be a pretty picture

image.png.90e6a69235baea8fce4440a770ecfbd5.png

see how the two lows are separate here interesting scenario

image.png.cbe049e5eb5582d6b1afe35f930f62fb.png

Needs to transfer soon

Edited by shaulov4

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image.png.e6487d42721596e76d7469fa2cd27d18.png

They are fighting, meanwhile Central PA getting Pummeled, light snow in northern mid Atlantic 

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Interesting look :hmm-2:

gfs_mslp_pcpn_frzn_us_30.png

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This is just about the perfect run for I95 snow lovers.  Not sure how I feel about that this far out

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Just now, RU4LIFE said:

This is just about the perfect run for I95 snow lovers.  Not sure how I feel about that this far out

I wouldn't say perfect as the southern portions of I-95 get rain after initial snow because of the late transfer if this can transfer a little earlier..game on

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Just now, shaulov4 said:

image.png.a71127a8e695bf949c3d0eac85372115.png

Coastal wins, many are happy

Looks like it transfers too late for the DC/Balt crew but looks good for the Northeast.  A little sooner and perhaps a tad South and we'll all make out with this one.

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Just now, shaulov4 said:

I wouldn't say perfect as the southern portions of I-95 get rain after initial snow because of the late transfer if this can transfer a little earlier..game on

 Your right.   I’m being a little selfish as I’m focusing more on my area north.    

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Just now, RU4LIFE said:

 Your right.   I’m being a little selfish as I’m focusing more on my area north.    

My area gets a nice hit on this run as well so I would mind 😉😂

Results would be of a classic miller b scenario, NYC gets a nice hit but the storm cranks up when it hits Boston

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5 minutes ago, RU4LIFE said:

 Your right.   I’m being a little selfish as I’m focusing more on my area north.    

I just can't take my eyes off of that big ol' butt 1040 high ! Hope it remains in days to come. Game changer (maker). That's what we been missing,  and on latest runs it doesn't just head for the hills at the first sign of a low.

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FWIW the Icon is showing a cutter and CMC is being drunk uncle.

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OT even though this looks promising watch out for the 15-17 period. It may be the real winner chicken dinner.

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At 162 0Z GFS seems confused as it has 3 Lows depicted, which one is the "real" one? 

gfs_z500_mslp_us_28.png

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JMA looks decent for most of the NE with a low track probably just inside the benchmark. This is from this afternoon, didn't see it posted.

jma_z500_mslp_us_8.png

jma_z500_mslp_us_9.png

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1 minute ago, PA Snow 84 said:

FWIW the Icon is showing a cutter and CMC is being drunk uncle.

The CMC is comical in my opinion, it sees all this energy and is not really sure what to do with it. Essentially developing lows all over the place lmao, Icon is well a piece of garbage but it does show the case if the Strong HP wasnt in place as I and  @RTC2 alluded to.

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2 minutes ago, shaulov4 said:

OT even though this looks promising watch out for the 15-17 period. It may be the real winner chicken dinner.

Yup, we finally get a traffic jam in the Atlantic.

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5 minutes ago, shaulov4 said:

OT even though this looks promising watch out for the 15-17 period. It may be the real winner chicken dinner.

Good. I fly home the 15th from Paris. Hoping to get in on the action and see a full fledged snowstorm! So, how promising does it look?

Edited by Snowcrazed71

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