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Spring Fever Spreading

Will Spring be on time for your region? Join the Conversation >> Long Range Spring Outlook

PA road DAWG

February 12-13, 2019 | Winter Storm

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6 minutes ago, paletitsnow63 said:

Go ahead and post it through the end of the run!

Here’s this system only. Then the entire run  

22F469BE-FDD7-4D7E-8EAD-B8895D7E26FA.png

0A8F0019-E087-4D15-B6B4-B5924AF12DB0.png

C92649DB-4466-4B3D-B5D6-FFE9A425B065.png

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4 minutes ago, RickRD said:

That rain/snow line hasn't moved pretty much all day. and actually shifted a tad south...

And it will keep shifting slightly south as the night progresses due to the LP in today’s event exiting out in the Atlantic and ushering cold air in its wake.

as the next storm starts to head for the lakes your area will be warm nosed and switch over tomorrow morning 

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1 minute ago, PA road DAWG said:

Here’s this system only. Then the entire run  

I love those pictures of your babies, hopefully they grow up and deliever 

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2 minutes ago, KENNYP2339 said:

I love those pictures of your babies, hopefully they grow up and deliever 

For the most part they’re all bastard children that don’t amount to much with the exception Of the runt of the litter 

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This one will be interesting tomorrow. Talk about a wall of dry air wow

Dendritic Layer RH and Omega

The relative humidity (RH) and upward vertical motion (Omega) are displayed for the dendritic growth layer (defined here as the layer with temperatures from -12 to -17 C). Strong ascent and saturated conditions in this layer supports rapid growth of dendritic cyrstals, which favors heavy snow production.

Potential melting below the dendritic layer must be considered when evaluating snowfall potential. Also, please keep in mind that these real-time fields reflect the 1-h RAP model forecast of temperature, moisture, and omega aloft, and are subject to any biases in the model forecast itself.

 

wall.thumb.JPG.c802a39ec4999f8d8354bb2da90d39af.JPG

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2 minutes ago, PA road DAWG said:

For the most part they’re all bastard children that don’t amount to much with the exception Of the runt of the litter 

Yea well that little runt needs to learn to stay out of the lakes, especially this time of year, the ocean is far better 

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3 hours ago, TheRex said:

BTV raised the totals in my backyard after lowering them overnight. 

 

Look's like we are both getting buried.

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PARD what is the website you use to get the full FV3 snowfall out to 384? Would like to see the full 18z run just for fun.

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36 minutes ago, RickRD said:

Makes me all warm and  fuzzy inside.....:classic_love:

Well. Now we know who your valentine is 

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Are we in observation mode? We already have snow in PA

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7 minutes ago, PA Snow 84 said:

PARD what is the website you use to get the full FV3 snowfall out to 384? Would like to see the full 18z run just for fun.

It’s listed as the “gfs” on this site. 

https://mageval.ncep.noaa.gov/model-guidance-model-parameter.php?group=Model%20Guidance&model=GFS&area=NAMER&ps=model

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22 minutes ago, PA road DAWG said:

Here’s this system only. Then the entire run  

22F469BE-FDD7-4D7E-8EAD-B8895D7E26FA.png

0A8F0019-E087-4D15-B6B4-B5924AF12DB0.png

C92649DB-4466-4B3D-B5D6-FFE9A425B065.png

Can we talk about E1 tho...? 😍

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10 minutes ago, PA Snow 84 said:

PARD what is the website you use to get the full FV3 snowfall out to 384? Would like to see the full 18z run just for fun.

F5weather has it

 

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9 minutes ago, dpinzow said:

Are we in observation mode? We already have snow in PA

We’ve been in observation mode all season long.  Observing the good snowstorms always miss us 

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18z is loading.  here is the 12z

image.thumb.png.95376c3a9f238daeb551b435f707cd06.png

F5weather is still having tech issues, so sometimes runs are behind.

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9 minutes ago, dpinzow said:

Are we in observation mode? We already have snow in PA

I would say so.  We have some suddenly moderate snow here in Lancaster and the pavement again covering quickly.

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1 minute ago, PA road DAWG said:

We’ve been in observation mode all season long.  Observing the good snowstorms always miss us 

This season has been brutal for mid-Atlantic snow lovers

Edited by dpinzow
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That snow in PA is 13 hours away from CT per the GRrrr... i mean HRRR

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32 minutes ago, PA road DAWG said:

Here’s this system only. Then the entire run  

22F469BE-FDD7-4D7E-8EAD-B8895D7E26FA.png

0A8F0019-E087-4D15-B6B4-B5924AF12DB0.png

C92649DB-4466-4B3D-B5D6-FFE9A425B065.png

 

who do i pay for the e1 please 

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9 minutes ago, WeatherFlash said:

 

who do i pay for the e1 please 

I'll take a loan out for that

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I dont understand Murphy declaring a state of emergency for this storm? What gives? Schools are closing all around in edison now. I just dont get this one. 

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4 minutes ago, Moshe from brooklyn said:

I dont understand Murphy declaring a state of emergency for this storm? What gives? Schools are closing all around in edison now. I just dont get this one. 

 

See the first storm of the year.    He isn’t making the mistake of being under prepared again

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Winter Storm Warning

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Baltimore MD/Washington DC
757 PM EST Mon Feb 11 2019

MDZ003>006-507-WVZ051-120900-
/O.UPG.KLWX.WW.Y.0010.000000T0000Z-190212T1500Z/
/O.EXA.KLWX.WS.W.0005.000000T0000Z-190212T1500Z/
Washington-Frederick MD-Carroll-Northern Baltimore-
Northwest Harford-Morgan-
757 PM EST Mon Feb 11 2019

...WINTER STORM WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 AM EST TUESDAY...

* WHAT...Snow, sleet and freezing rain. Total snowfall and sleet
  accumulations (including snow that has fallen since Sunday
  night) of 3 to 7 inches are expected, with isolated totals up to
  9 inches possible along the Pennsylvania border in northern
  Baltimore and northwestern Harford Counties. Freezing rain
  accumulations of a tenth to a quarter of an inch are also
  expected through Tuesday morning.

* WHERE...Portions of north central and northern Maryland and
  Morgan County West Virginia.

* WHEN...Until 10 AM EST Tuesday.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...Travel may become extremely difficult,
  especially north of Interstate 70 to near the Pennsylvania
  border. These conditions will likely affect the Tuesday morning
  commute. The combined weight of snow, sleet and freezing rain
  will likely result in scattered power outages.
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I do have to ask. I am confused as to why places like the Lehigh Valley in PA have a WSW for 5-7in of snow to go along with .1-.25 of ice? Is the NWS seeing something we aren’t?

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1 hour ago, Wx_WhatWX? said:

Can't leave the WPC crew out.  HUGE ZR hatch for tomorrow. OT but WOW!!! look at that train of low pressures.

Source: https://www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/#

image.png.2769186e4b4decb7e4bbab8e82a81456.png

Neat and I’m glad I’m just south of Dover Delaware and will be in the rain no ice this time but worry that ft. Meade Maryland by the BWI might be in the ice again in the morning and I leave my house at 3:30 a.m. for work. The rest of you enjoy as I keep watching the storm become.

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