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Extreme active pattern across the entire US continues, what does it mean for your region? Join the conversion

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PREFACE NOVEL - Perfume & Blizzard, a war of seasons

The time has come for winter to take revenge on those who have dismissed it, laughed at it and wanted to replace it with Spring. Winter intends to show those that mocked it, who roars in February is still the lord of ice and snow, the lord of blizzards; Lord Winter Solstice. To make that roar loud and clear, a Nor´easter shall humble those who intended to start a coup in favor of the lord of fragrance and flowers; Lord Spring Equinox.

Taken by rage, Lord Spring Equinox warns Lord Winter Solstice that it has the ability to deploy one of its Atlantic Ocean´s soldiers, the SE Ridge to flood the eastern seaboard with its warm air to offset one of Lord Winter Solstice´s most beloved weapon, the snow. Keeping that in mind, all those beings being kept hostage to this power struggle, the people of the Mid-Atlantic and Northeast CONUS, become aware that the SE ridge is a force to be reckoned with and that it should not be neglected or forgotten. It needs to be watched every step of the way to see if it will be able to further Lord Spring Equinox´s influence over the region and keep Lord Winter Solstice´s loyal subjects in the Mid-Atlantic and Northeast apprehended under the most severe punishment of all, warm air in winter with no snow.

But we all know that Lord Winter Solstice, although beaten down since December by a hostile rogue split flow pattern, not being able to count on one of its most loyal soldiers, the -NAO, which has been kidnapped by its evil twin the +NAO for many months now, will strive to make a come back and avenge all those involved with this Lord Spring Equinox led coup, as well as in the process, be able to count on the Greenland blocking, another of Lord Winter Solstice´s loyal member, the royal guard gatekeeper which has been unable to manifest itself due to the poisoning of the atmospheric flow over North America by many masked unrevealed Lord Spring Equinox supports. 

Acting out of deep fear and staunch resolution that there should not be Spring during Winter´s reign time, Lord Winter Solstice´s bountiful supports in and around the frontline,  resort to consulting and interpreting while trying to trust the world most famous group of seers; weather prophets called: Weather Guidance Model Operational & Ensemble Association aka WGMOEA. Lord Winter Solstice´s supporter hopes rest  on the shoulders of the WGMOEA as they yearn for most needed support and good news from the weather seers that Lord Winter Solstice and its loyal soldiers will be able to fight back and squash the ongoing coup by releasing the frontline from Lord Spring Equinox´s oppressive untimely rule using Lord Winter Solstice´s most powerful weapon, the Blizzard. They hope, they say, that the Blizzard with its frostbiting winds, heavy wind-driven snows, thunderous snowfall, and deep low surface pressure, can prevail and hence the frontline finally rejoice with a celebration at Lord Winter Solstice´s, whose nickname is P. Master, headquarters located in Long Island, NY.

 

 

Please see the next page for some images provided by the WGMOEA of the future of this battle.

 


Possible Battle Outcomes

1488472318_Feb15-16scenario1.thumb.png.1ed3cc9585b955f20d78ef19da012bda.png123345263_Feb15-16scenario2.thumb.png.ef4b7a364b7bc07b3af910c36a9016fc.png153340423_Feb15-16scenario3.thumb.png.f0678a432191c0c774df1a9b0511e351.png

 

WGMOEA Depictions

1980697392_Webp.net-gifmaker(1).thumb.gif.c410fd05c37147be8bd48bef3eba1cb7.giffv3p_mslp_pcpn_frzn_us_fh228-270.gif.82689422333723366b533eb7d422bdc6.giffv3p_mslp_pcpn_frzn_us_fh240-294.gif.8843c6f37a11308e4a1ddbe8bbe1f17d.gif

A different take on this thread starter post. Hopefully, a good outcome is the final result from this battle.


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Was going to open this up, but decided that someone with a better track record should 😉

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06Z GFS for fun.

Gotta post something, so there it is.

gfs_mslp_pcpn_frzn_us_fh204-240.gif.642698fd8313286702816e5c0cfa7f4f.gif

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00Z ECMWF:

Must keep the forum activity going. So, thanks ECWMF for showing something.

833018946_9-kmECMWFUSACitiesNortheastUSPrecipTypeMSLP.gif.fd368b84298a99feafa090019041535d.gif

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19 minutes ago, Phased Vort said:

00Z ECMWF:

Must keep the forum activity going. So, thanks ECWMF for showing something.

 

good to the euro sees it this far out too , looked at previous gfs runs and they weren't even close to the 6z

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On 2/6/2019 at 7:42 AM, Phased Vort said:

PREFACE NOVEL - Perfume & Blizzard, a war of seasons

The time has come for winter to take revenge on those who have dismissed it, laughed at it and wanted to replace it with Spring. Winter intends to show those that mocked it, who roars in February is still the lord of ice and snow, the lord of blizzards; Lord Winter Solstice. To make that roar loud and clear, a Nor´easter shall humble those who intended to start a coup in favor of the lord of fragrance and flowers; Lord Spring Equinox.

Taken by rage, Lord Spring Equinox warns Lord Winter Solstice that it has the ability to deploy one of its Atlantic Ocean´s soldiers, the SE Ridge to flood the eastern seaboard with its warm air to offset one of Lord Winter Solstice´s most beloved weapon, the snow. Keeping that in mind, all those beings being kept hostage to this power struggle, the people of the Mid-Atlantic and Northeast CONUS, become aware that the SE ridge is a force to be reckoned with and that it should not be neglected or forgotten. It needs to be watched every step of the way to see if it will be able to further Lord Spring Equinox´s influence over the region and keep Lord Winter Solstice´s loyal subjects in the Mid-Atlantic and Northeast apprehended under the most severe punishment of all, warm air in winter with no snow.

But we all know that Lord Winter Solstice, although beaten down since December by a hostile rogue split flow pattern, not being able to count on one of its most loyal soldiers, the -NAO, which has been kidnapped by its evil twin the +NAO for many months now, will strive to make a come back and avenge all those involved with this Lord Spring Equinox led coup, as well as in the process, be able to count on the Greenland blocking, another of Lord Winter Solstice´s loyal member, the royal guard gatekeeper which has been unable to manifest itself due to the poisoning of the atmospheric flow over North America by many masked unrevealed Lord Spring Equinox supports. 

Acting out of deep fear and staunch resolution that there should not be Spring during Winter´s reign time, Lord Winter Solstice´s bountiful supports in and around the frontline,  resort to consulting and interpreting while trying to trust the world most famous group of seers; weather prophets called: Weather Guidance Model Operational & Ensemble Association aka WGMOEA. Lord Winter Solstice´s supporter hopes rest  on the shoulders of the WGMOEA as they yearn for most needed support and good news from the weather seers that Lord Winter Solstice and its loyal soldiers will be able to fight back and squash the ongoing coup by releasing the frontline from Lord Spring Equinox´s oppressive untimely rule using Lord Winter Solstice´s most powerful weapon, the Blizzard. They hope, they say, that the Blizzard with its frostbiting winds, heavy wind-driven snows, thunderous snowfall, and deep low surface pressure, can prevail and hence the frontline finally rejoice with a celebration at Lord Winter Solstice´s, whose nickname is P. Master, headquarters located in Long Island, NY.

 

 

Please see the next page for some images provided by the WGMOEA of the future of this battle.

 


Possible Battle Outcomes

1488472318_Feb15-16scenario1.thumb.png.1ed3cc9585b955f20d78ef19da012bda.png123345263_Feb15-16scenario2.thumb.png.ef4b7a364b7bc07b3af910c36a9016fc.png153340423_Feb15-16scenario3.thumb.png.f0678a432191c0c774df1a9b0511e351.png

 

WGMOEA Depictions

1980697392_Webp.net-gifmaker(1).thumb.gif.c410fd05c37147be8bd48bef3eba1cb7.giffv3p_mslp_pcpn_frzn_us_fh228-270.gif.82689422333723366b533eb7d422bdc6.giffv3p_mslp_pcpn_frzn_us_fh240-294.gif.8843c6f37a11308e4a1ddbe8bbe1f17d.gif

A different take on this thread starter post. Hopefully, a good outcome is the final result from this battle.


Great post!!!

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19 minutes ago, RobMay said:

good to the euro sees it this far out too , looked at previous gfs runs and they weren't even close to the 6z

Well at least the euro and 06z gfs have some sort of agreement.  That's something I guess lol ;)

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are models generally showing a miller b storm? 

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1 hour ago, Winter_warlock said:

Well at least the euro and 06z gfs have some sort of agreement.  That's something I guess lol ;)

Warlock first off I am rooting for any of these model runs to actually come to be real,,,,that said I really don't know how much weight these runs carry when just 2 days ago the Euro and GFS were bot in agreement about next Tuesdays event ? Yes I am still pulling and hoping for that event to happen but long range oh long range where have you gone !!!!

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The war is intense.

Lord Spring Equinox may suffer a big blow on this run. Seems like Lord Winter Solstice is planning something...

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2 hours ago, shaulov4 said:

Too much going on for the GFS too even handle.a storm

Yeah gonna have to wait till  the mess before it gets out lol

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10 hours ago, Brasiluvsnow said:

Warlock first off I am rooting for any of these model runs to actually come to be real,,,,that said I really don't know how much weight these runs carry when just 2 days ago the Euro and GFS were bot in agreement about next Tuesdays event ? Yes I am still pulling and hoping for that event to happen but long range oh long range where have you gone !!!!

I agree!!! Modeling has been horrendous,  I'm thinking models won't really get a good handle on it till maybe Sunday at earliest!!!

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Who do I have to pay to make sure this happens.  Too far away to put too much hope in one run but better than looking outside at the rain.gfs_mslp_pcpn_frzn_us_33.png.0ca7132811770cc43a20eeb81175fcda.png

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1 hour ago, lfunk11 said:

Who do I have to pay to make sure this happens.  Too far away to put too much hope in one run but better than looking outside at the rain.gfs_mslp_pcpn_frzn_us_33.png.0ca7132811770cc43a20eeb81175fcda.png

I don’t know but it sure has Willy Wonka quality eye candy!!! 

46805873-C30A-41FE-ABBA-2DFDA7D054E1.png

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2 hours ago, lfunk11 said:

Who do I have to pay to make sure this happens.  Too far away to put too much hope in one run but better than looking outside at the rain.gfs_mslp_pcpn_frzn_us_33.png.0ca7132811770cc43a20eeb81175fcda.png

Models have been very volatile just like this storm and the past. SE ridge rides and the high pressure has lately took good until the day comes closer and than the high pressure moves out of the way to allow storms to come in NW

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If one reads through the Crankster's usual sarcasm and LMAO commentary against social media, he seems intrigued indeed by this period's potential.

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44 minutes ago, Jblizz68 said:

I don’t know but it sure has Willy Wonka quality eye candy!!! 

46805873-C30A-41FE-ABBA-2DFDA7D054E1.png

We'll always have the GFS hour 240+ to make us feel like winter is on its way.

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50 minutes ago, Snowadelphia said:

We'll always have the GFS hour 240+ to make us feel like winter is on its way.

Wishful Thinking, but I'll take the GFS optimism.

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Already a much different look on 12z gfs, yuck more rain.

 

gfs_mslp_pcpn_frzn_us_29.png

Edited by Phillyfan

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2 minutes ago, Phillyfan said:

Already a much different look on 12z gfs:

gfs_mslp_pcpn_frzn_us_27.png

This looks more par for the course.

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4 minutes ago, Phillyfan said:

Already a much different look on 12z gfs, yuck more rain.

 

gfs_mslp_pcpn_frzn_us_29.png

well, I had one model run to dream about.   At least the sun is out now.

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Lmao at 12z GooFuS compared to 6z, what an awesome model! Went from 15" of snow to warm with 2" of rain. 

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