This is what I meant by watching.
0z nam3k -1008 LP off OBX
18z NAM3k 1009 Low inland
There should be a NW jog at some point as the upper low captures it, and that happens on the 0z run as it heads up the Chesapeake before getting shunted out.
You could think its chasing convection, but there's not that much of it and its not jumpy enough to believe that. I actually like this track. Thought it would cut inside OBX then pass over Delmarva and scrape the coast until Monmouth or so and then head NE over LI/RI.
Also, it goes from 1009 at hr 14 to 997 at hr 28, so its not fitting the def of a bomb yet. We needed that to happen during this time frame to get the dynamic cooling we all wanted. The next 24 hrs is closer to a bomb but its already north of most of us by then.