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Spring Fever Spreading

Will Spring be on time for your region? Join the Conversation >> Long Range Spring Outlook

weather_boy2010

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weather_boy2010 last won the day on October 6 2018

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About weather_boy2010

  • Birthday September 24

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    Crown Point, IN

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  1. weather_boy2010

    Winter 2019-2020 | Outlooks and Discussion

    I'm going to play the devils advocate for a hot second here. The forecast from last April (2018) actually wasn't terrible: Wishful thinking? Probably, but one can hope!
  2. weather_boy2010

    April 7, 2019 | Severe Weather

    Guys, I think there's a slight risk of severe weather somewhere in the south on Sunday, what do you think? Lol
  3. weather_boy2010

    Spring 2019 | Outlooks and Discussions

    04/04/19 00z EPS: 04/04/19 00z GEFS:
  4. weather_boy2010

    Spring 2019 | Outlooks and Discussions

    Not to be a ball buster here, but records for that NWS office only date back to 1998. That's an extremely short period of time to be making such a bold statement. I would agree with you, Ahoff, but let's stop the bickering and get back to actually having discussions. I've said it before, we have absolutely no control over the weather, and it makes no sense for us to scroll through pages of back and forth about something we have no control over.
  5. weather_boy2010

    Spring 2019 | Outlooks and Discussions

    Be careful though, that is one model and one run. When looking to identify trends, I use the ensemble means and look at the trends over time. That said, the EPS has been suggesting a tremendous amount of high-latitude blocking for days now and the GEFS is slowly coming around to this idea as well. I'll post maps in a bit, I am waiting for all the GIFs to download.
  6. weather_boy2010

    Spring 2019 | Outlooks and Discussions

    Mother Nature... Where was this blocking when we wanted it, two and three months ago?? 4/1/19 00z EPS:
  7. weather_boy2010

    Spring 2019 | Outlooks and Discussions

    Gotta admit, I'd rather see the reds now than in mid-summer. By then, that means air temps in the 90s and heat indices into the 100s, IMBY that is. Yuck.
  8. weather_boy2010

    Spring 2019 | Outlooks and Discussions

    Each to their own, but you can't control it, so IMHO, there's no sense in getting upset about it. Besides, it's March, not May, it would be foolish to think that we will have endless days of 50s and 60s.
  9. A strong cold front will move through the Mississippi and Ohio Valleys on Saturday and by the Eastern Seaboard on Sunday. Widespread rain and thunderstorms are forecast near the front from the Lower Mississippi Valley northeastward through the Ohio Valley this afternoon and evening. Within the low pressure system's cold sector, snow is expected through the Lower Great Lakes region. A swath of 4 to 6 inches of snow is forecast for the Lower Great Lakes region through Sunday night.
  10. weather_boy2010

    Spring 2019 | Outlooks and Discussions

    Keep up the severe weather discussion guys, this is one field that I still don't fully understand like I do the cool-season stuff. Always love learning more from those far more knowledgeable than me! Now for a look at the temperatures... The NAEFS like it plenty warm for the first full week of April, which based on your guys' discussions above, will likely be laced with quite a bit of severe weather as well.
  11. weather_boy2010

    March 28th - 31st | Heavy Rain (& Snow?) Threat

    They really need to fix that cold bias...
  12. weather_boy2010

    March 28th - 31st | Heavy Rain (& Snow?) Threat

    That depends on your location, it still has a stripe of accumulation from Iowa into Michigan. Not that I trust the NAM, by any stretch, but there were a few times this winter that it set the trend, so I don't think it should be completely ignored either.
  13. weather_boy2010

    March 28th - 31st | Heavy Rain (& Snow?) Threat

    Side note, the HRRR is showing a nice bowing line segment in N MO this afternoon:
  14. weather_boy2010

    March 28th - 31st | Heavy Rain (& Snow?) Threat

    Hey! Let's play a game. Can anyone spot the cold front?
  15. weather_boy2010

    March 28th - 31st | Heavy Rain (& Snow?) Threat

    That’s one of my all time fave gifs lol For anyone not so keen on snow, lucky for you it won’t last more than a day this time of year. Will be interesting to see if it’s just a minor event, or something more significant like the NAM shows.
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