Jump to content
Search In
  • More options...
Find results that contain...
Find results in...
WINTER IS HERE!

Don't be a guest on the outside, click on the register button and live the dream...

so_whats_happening

Helper
  • Content Count

    273
  • Joined

  • Last visited

  • Days Won

    1

so_whats_happening last won the day on August 21

so_whats_happening had the most liked content!

Community Reputation

202 Excellent

2 Followers

About so_whats_happening

  • Birthday 03/21/1991

Stuff

  • Interests
    Snowboarding, hiking, well of course weather

Recent Profile Visitors

266 profile views
  1. so_whats_happening

    November 15-16, 2018 | East Coast Snow/Ice Storm

    Well call me a sucker lol quite a bit more impressive then thought. Cant believe the snow actually ended up fluffy considering the temp profiles aloft. Very much more thumpy than model numbers projected and the lack of lowering ratios sure helped those totals. With how quickly the onset started from going to sleet/snow to all out white out in a matter of a half hour was impressive to watch. By 11am seeing that totals were already over an inch knew philly was not the right choice and even getting around town was just flat out horrible. Funny how I saw Maryland preparing even before the advisories and warnings went out just gotta prepare in PA, doesnt help the state seems to barely gets funding to fix/maintain anything. There was that chance that temps stayed colder longer and well it sure did happen precip lightened up then temps flooded the region but the damage was already done. Looks like we will have to start considering certain aspects a little more so. Would hate to see it shift to the other end of the spectrum because of this and the same happens just opposite (forecast more get less due to the same type of setup) but looks like we have to fine tune things a little better. Hope all got around safe
  2. so_whats_happening

    November 15-16, 2018 | East Coast Snow/Ice Storm

    Both lanc nice im in the city rough estimate 4.5 maybe 5 not going out yet will a little later looks like our surface low might start producing its shield
  3. so_whats_happening

    November 15-16, 2018 | East Coast Snow/Ice Storm

    Looks like a warm push coming in skews are still from last hour but would suggest 725mb so some pinging and big flake action might start to take place in a lot of areas like lns maybe rdg to just south of allentown. Bwi pinging with rain as well dca over to rain iad holding on so that makes think we may miss this just a little but will know in about 2 hours. Stay safe i need a drink
  4. so_whats_happening

    November 15-16, 2018 | East Coast Snow/Ice Storm

    About 2 1/2" and piling up
  5. so_whats_happening

    November 15-16, 2018 | East Coast Snow/Ice Storm

    Not going to philly qith all this happening such a bummer. Oh well time to drink
  6. so_whats_happening

    November 15-16, 2018 | East Coast Snow/Ice Storm

    Mqn its coming down roads are all covered probably close to an inch right now in about an hour
  7. so_whats_happening

    November 15-16, 2018 | East Coast Snow/Ice Storm

    Its a shame models are locked into the normal surface,925,850,700, 500 there is a sneaky area around 800mb that comes in then the whole area from 800-700mb pushes rather warm on the models. But nice fronto region from about 6z friday on moving ENE that should be fun to watch come through central PA and into NE
  8. so_whats_happening

    November 15-16, 2018 | East Coast Snow/Ice Storm

    I had to it was sooo easy lol
  9. so_whats_happening

    November 15-16, 2018 | East Coast Snow/Ice Storm

    I think the biggest issue for this is the timing of the transition, WAA waits for no one as my professor use to tell us in forecasting class because we had competitions with snowfall to see who would forecast the most accurate. I would honestly say 5-9" is the upper echelon again not saying outside a few lollipops its possible but with this type of event and the time of year its unlikely in many locals to get near that foot mark with this. For areas on the eastern side of the warnings and western side of the WWA it is a hard situation because if for some reason the cold stays through the column longer the more snow the other issue then arises well what happens when the warmer air comes in aloft quicker well then its more ice situation and less snow. We will be revisiting this after the storm to see how they did.
  10. so_whats_happening

    November 15-16, 2018 | East Coast Snow/Ice Storm

    For through this time you have brief light fluffyish snow at the onset then go to compacting snow until right around 00z per 3km nam that is indicative of at best 10:1 ratios more likely 8:1 but here nor there. So with no evap cooling processes taking place and assuming it stays 10:1, which is a big assumption for this time of year that is 7-10" then after the 00z mark it goes to ice. Then goes to ice and maybe at the end a burst of snow that could add 1-3" so is this the reason why you think its 8-13" possible in the mountains? Because the way I see it seems like a heavy wet snow in such a moisture laden atmosphere which would mean 8:1 and showing 5-9" maybe as being the top amounts under those conditions. Most of the mountainous areas ping off the freezing line aloft most of the event. Just from what I saw at least. Yea im hoping the cold is deeper and stays longer but ice ice baby.
  11. so_whats_happening

    November 15-16, 2018 | East Coast Snow/Ice Storm

    Outside of a few lollipops still not seeing much above 8" in most areas that mid level warmth is going to intrude just looking at 850mb alone the windfield is not suitable to hold below freezing for a large portion of the area so it is inevitable it will change. How quickly it does is another story but the strongest thump of precip is around 4-10pm according to 700mb vvs that is when we get the transition pushing through many areas.
  12. so_whats_happening

    November 15-16, 2018 | East Coast Snow/Ice Storm

    Just dropped to 38/18 at BWI catching up to you lol
  13. so_whats_happening

    November 15-16, 2018 | East Coast Snow/Ice Storm

    Whatttt nahhh just the receptionist probably isnt there lol there is always someone staffed at each office 24/7/365 To add to this if you happen to know someone at a weather observing station in the area they most likely have the number for the place to call to talk to the person on for the night. Sterling is always there in case we have issues.
  14. so_whats_happening

    November 15-16, 2018 | East Coast Snow/Ice Storm

    Winds are picking up nicely down here 50 @ 12 knots gusting to 20knots. The 50 is in reference to the degrees on a compass so nearly almost exactly from the NE.
×