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White Christmas?

Latest odds and storm events for the holidays tracked

so_whats_happening

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Everything posted by so_whats_happening

  1. so_whats_happening

    Announcements

    Hey all, I ran into a snag with the microsoft office suite at work this week it magically wanted to not work so I have to take my stuff with me back home over the holidays to work it out and finish the 2 threads I was creating. Maybe santa will surprise me with an early christmas gift of a new laptop, doubt it but may have to go black friday shopping to see if there is anything good out there. Thanks for your patience and at least the one should be up thanksgiving. More announcements to come. Happy Thanksgiving Tylor
  2. so_whats_happening

    December 8-10, 2018 | Winter Storm

    yea i use to use it mainly for temps because they werent too bad with them but precip is some of the hardest to forecast for hence the outlandish numbers there sometimes.
  3. so_whats_happening

    December 8-10, 2018 | Winter Storm

    Feel we are on the brink though of some interesting blocking situations down the road the wave-spacing is just going to throw all sorts of fun probably toward the end of the month?
  4. so_whats_happening

    December 8-10, 2018 | Winter Storm

    Yea pivotal shows precip falling without taking into account evaporation and other factors versus how TT does it. Seems just like an algorithm issue between the two.
  5. so_whats_happening

    December 8-10, 2018 | Winter Storm

    What a weird 500mb pattern... Definitely having trouble with handling energy but again still no real sign that this will be causing a crazy shift. hahahahaha too funny Ahhh good ol' SREF they sure do know whats up... If I had banked on those through school man I dont know what would have happened.
  6. so_whats_happening

    December 8-10, 2018 | Winter Storm

    oh man im only 27... I dont think they will have too much of an icing situation looks like as of right now mostly a rain or snow situation. Will probably know better once friday night models come out.
  7. so_whats_happening

    December 8-10, 2018 | Winter Storm

    didnt they get something last year from an early season storm just like this?
  8. so_whats_happening

    December 8-10, 2018 | Winter Storm

    This is the area behind the cold front not terrible dry aloft
  9. so_whats_happening

    December 8-10, 2018 | Winter Storm

    No doubts you will probably see flakeage (sp?) maybe even thrown a flizzard warning when it really starts up but probably nothing more than a coating at best in areas north of mason dixon line.
  10. so_whats_happening

    December 8-10, 2018 | Winter Storm

    I thought it was the brazilian model or deep thunder lol
  11. so_whats_happening

    December 8-10, 2018 | Winter Storm

    Yea pivotal weather does a different algorithm than TT does so it shows all precip available versus probably what will fall. One thing that tends to be underestimated from past experiences is the northern edge of precip very rarely does it have that sharp of a cutoff it happens but not all the time. While there is 'arctic' air trying to move in the dp's behind the front from looking at aviationweather.com into the lakes is not rather dry i havent done a skew t yet to check aloft but when I hear of an arctic boundary im use to see dp's at or below 0 coming down most are in the upper single digits to low teens so that will play a role in some of the northern locals for some snow flakes to fall down. The most forcing though is associated closer to the LP so up to about say richmond will have some fun and further north what gets thrown up will be relatively light but not do much fun.
  12. so_whats_happening

    December 8-10, 2018 | Winter Storm

    Maybe Allentown to LI and maybe around marthas vineyard if they are lucky.
  13. so_whats_happening

    December 8-10, 2018 | Winter Storm

    I wanna see the temp profiles and dp's from this arctic front coming through. That will give me a better idea of what to expect in areas further south.
  14. so_whats_happening

    December 8-10, 2018 | Winter Storm

    Still think Ill see flurries from this though here in lancaster. Still like hte idea of maybe 1-3" more so down to DC area maybe inch into balt area. Sticking to my guns lol
  15. so_whats_happening

    December 8-10, 2018 | Winter Storm

    I use the Pa/MD border as a mark for the mid atlantic even just from Lancaster to Baltimore there is quite a huge difference sometimes
  16. so_whats_happening

    December 8-10, 2018 | Winter Storm

    So pretty!! That is a heck of a storm up there to really link up aloft.
  17. so_whats_happening

    December 8-10, 2018 | Winter Storm

    I only that was still around but unfortunately no have a little bit until 00z starts rolling for the storm time frame
  18. so_whats_happening

    December 8-10, 2018 | Winter Storm

    Righhhttt lol
  19. so_whats_happening

    December 8-10, 2018 | Winter Storm

    Yes nice idea and I have a had a little bit of luck from finding a PDF version of some of them. So to add to the topic though I will say that maybe the models are finally picking up on the slower approach of the system as a SW low normally tends to be slower and again usually tends to be closed off as well as it enters the southern plains and gulf region. We will see how it holds but that may be the difference in some locals.
  20. so_whats_happening

    December 8-10, 2018 | Winter Storm

    Remember though these books are scholarly based so they will be a bit of a spend but totally worth it. Havent fully gotten through volume 1 and 2 but got them when I went to AMS out in Phoenix years ago almost got them signed by Uccellini himself but didnt make it in time. We got to go to NOAA headquarters though in Silver Spring for a tour and he met up with us and hung out with us for awhile.
  21. so_whats_happening

    December 8-10, 2018 | Winter Storm

    Its a general basics book on NE snowstorms and the understanding giving case studies of different aspects of storms. Its not necessarily state specified but goes into details of how the storms formed what were the impacts a look at 500mb and a few other layers if they happened to have it. Pretty cool book if you happen to want to learn more so then just NE snowstorms I recommend Meteorology Today.
  22. so_whats_happening

    December 8-10, 2018 | Winter Storm

    Northeast Snow storms vol 1 & 2 I mean you could also go into texts from schools if you really wanna dabble in that. Meteorology today is a good not overly scientific basic met scholar book that we used in met 101
  23. so_whats_happening

    December 8-10, 2018 | Winter Storm

    Love seeing this stuff when I get word back ill throw in a convective feedback situation and misplacement of L's and H's on the map from the models and what causes it. Just heard it might be this monday for the new comp.
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