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MaineJay posted a topic in North East | Mid AtlanticLooks like winter doesn't want to release it's icy grip, have a chance of 60° today, but tomorrow looks messy. I guess the adage about watching out for what follows a warm-up is going to hold true for April. Truth be told, April could be considered a generally "winter month" for northern New England and the mountains. Looks like there are two events, but with so little of the area affected, I thought one thread would suffice. The second system racing in is a surprise to me. We'll start with the eye candy. The NAM Bros. snow depth change 12km 3km ECMWF, what "falls" as frozen, not accumulations, especially with an early September type Sun angle. GYX disco, not really buying the "sequel". SREFs for my area
Okay, I'm here to torture everyone with another cutter solution that could bring some slop to come of us to the North. Now, the strong cutter is depicted in both the ECMWF and the FV3, but 6-7 days out is an eternity in the modeling world. The stronger solutions are phased, so perhaps we back off from that, and we get more folks in on the action. Start with WPC. Possibility of a low on the triple point to give the northern tier some frozen. ECMWF FV3 UKie and the CMC disagree with the cutter notion and provide a glimmer of hope. Sorry for the brief introduction, just wanted to give a place to post in case this trends more favorable, and as to not clutter up the previous thread. Disco.
Okay, I'll start a thread since I promised, and I know @Mike W IN ALTMAR is patiently waiting for it. Let's not beat around the bush, no one in this sub-forum is excited about a 978mb low in the great Lakes. It's also not often that one can open a thread with NAM images, but here we are. To the surprise of no one, the NAM12 is colder than the GFS family, as it more aggressively pops a coastal low reflection, as well as picking up on the CAD signal ECMWF might be the most aggressive, keeping me all snow miraculously. Subtract about 0.4" from this, and it's still borderline warning level snows. So feel free to post those rainfall totals, and may they be light! GYX disco, interesting that in a winter of many CAD events, this one stands out for some reason.