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ohiobuckeye45

January 17th-18th storm

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1 minute ago, ohiobuckeye45 said:

What in the world lol

1e1767b7-8bf1-4262-9b0f-775002ea098a.gif

Interesting, though I need to see more agreement from other higher rez and even global models.

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Thermal profiles would be all snow for Columbus on the 0z NAM.  This could definitely be a sneaky one. 

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Sneaker little bugger with all the hype this weekend could drop a fresh 2-4 for a lot namconus_asnow_ncus_29.png

Edited by Hassaywx1990

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30 minutes ago, Hassaywx1990 said:

Sneaker little bugger with all the hype this weekend could drop a fresh 2-4 for a lot namconus_asnow_ncus_29.png

...and push the baroclinic zone further south for the main event this weekend.

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CLE AFD. Note the last sentence:

Quote

A shortwave trough will ripple through the central CONUS on Thursday
and support a weak area of low pressure that will move through the
Ohio Valley. This system is becoming very tricky to forecast for the
area as just enough warm air aloft appears to enter the region ahead
of it, and therefore precipitation type will be problematic. Areas
well north of the low, especially NW Ohio and NW PA will likely stay
all snow. The surge of warm air ahead of the low will likely make it
to the US 30 corridor, but there is uncertainty if it will make it
another row of counties or two, or into Tiffin-Cleveland-Akron-
Youngstown. For now, have precipitation starting as snow for all
areas, transitioning to a mix or freezing rain and snow in the US 30
and south counties in Ohio, and then back to all snow by Friday
morning. Snow accumulations appear to be in the one to three inches
range and have added some ice accumulation to the forecast in the
areas, where freezing rain seems likely to occur. Don`t sleep on
this system, as there will likely be impacts in the area.

 

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CLE snow map

7181D544-1B1F-490C-A50A-0B67BB8541E5.png

Edited by Hiramite

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Things r coming around to the NAM, was what a huge win. It was completely going against the grain for a good 4-6 runs

snku_acc.us_mw (5).png

snku_acc.us_mw (6).png

snku_acc.us_mw (4).png

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6z euro @10:1 so these need cut

download (31).png

Edited by ohiobuckeye45

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My point and click forecast is now all snow for the Thursday system:

image.png.7d13f0b1e2a498fdbcd08c5c8650be6e.png

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Latest...

1111.png

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Meanwhile we are under a WWA from freezing drizzle 

Edited by btbucks

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Credit where credit is due. The NAM had this pegged from literally its first hour 84 frame when ALL other models had the freezing line almost north of i80. 

 

12z Euro

download (35).png

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Man this thread is dead. I know we have the big system coming through this weekend, but this system should not be slept on when it comes to disruptions. People will probably be caught off guard tomorrow lol. 

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1 hour ago, Ingyball said:

Man this thread is dead. I know we have the big system coming through this weekend, but this system should not be slept on when it comes to disruptions. People will probably be caught off guard tomorrow lol. 

Agreed, but ya know, but with the end of the world coming this weekend...

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Quote

An inch or two of snow is expected to fall on Thursday, beginning around the morning rush hour west of the I-75 corridor. The axis of the heaviest snow will be along the I-70 corridor. Snow will end by early evening in the Columbus metropolitan area.

 

enough to replenish an inch or two thats already melted 

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CLE backing off on accums slightly as some warmer air moves in briefly.

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Light snow falling outside my office window in downtown Dayton.

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Surprisingly cold here this AM even with cloudy skies.  Still uppers teens at 8:30AM.  Never paid attention to the forecasted lows last night, but don't think they were that cold.  Maybe there were some breaks in the clouds overnight.

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34 degrees here this morning. all rain south of I70

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It was snowing wherever my girlfriend. I think she was in Kenwood area. It’s just raining here.

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Light Snow at present glancing from my office window

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