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MesoscaleBanding

January 28-29 Clipper

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I'll loop 24 hour snows fall soon

24 hour snowfall loop from 1/23 12Z Euro

9-km ECMWF USA Cities Great Lakes 24-h Snowfall.gif

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19 minutes ago, RobB said:

Euro precip type loop

9-km ECMWF USA Cities Great Lakes Precip Type & MSLP.gif

Way too close to some rain and mixing in SE Oakland county there for comfort.

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@RobB, could you post text for KDUH? 

Edited by ryanmkay
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5 minutes ago, ryanmkay said:

@RobB, could you post text for KDUH? 

Quote

ECMWF Deterministic FORECAST FOR: DUH    LAT=  41.73 LON=  -83.65 ELE=   669

                                            12Z JAN23
                 2 M     850     SFC     SFC     700    6 HR     500    1000 
                 TMP     TMP     PRS     RHU     RHU     QPF     HGT     500 
                 (C)     (C)    (MB)    (PCT)   (PCT)   (IN)    (DM)     THK 
WED 12Z 23-JAN   3.3     3.0    1011      92      96    0.00     556     548    
WED 18Z 23-JAN   7.7     3.3    1004      90      95    0.22     552     549    
THU 00Z 24-JAN   2.6     0.5    1006      94      62    0.08     547     542    
THU 06Z 24-JAN  -2.5    -7.6    1008      86      36    0.00     541     535    
THU 12Z 24-JAN  -4.3   -12.2    1009      88       5    0.00     535     528    
THU 18Z 24-JAN  -1.6   -12.0    1010      59      68    0.00     533     524    
FRI 00Z 25-JAN  -3.4   -11.4    1012      64      32    0.00     529     520    
FRI 06Z 25-JAN  -6.0   -15.5    1014      75      17    0.01     523     512    
FRI 12Z 25-JAN -10.8   -21.6    1019      55      21    0.01     518     504    
FRI 18Z 25-JAN -10.7   -22.3    1023      43      69    0.01     520     503    
SAT 00Z 26-JAN -12.8   -19.2    1023      44      92    0.00     522     505    
SAT 06Z 26-JAN -11.9   -18.9    1023      53      98    0.01     523     505    
SAT 12Z 26-JAN -11.6   -19.0    1022      62      18    0.01     522     505    
SAT 18Z 26-JAN  -7.3   -17.5    1021      44      37    0.00     523     507    
SUN 00Z 27-JAN  -7.3   -15.7    1018      47      77    0.00     524     510    
SUN 06Z 27-JAN  -6.7   -12.4    1014      65      97    0.01     525     514    
SUN 12Z 27-JAN  -6.3   -13.4    1012      75      77    0.02     525     516    
SUN 18Z 27-JAN  -6.3   -18.2    1015      47      22    0.00     525     514    
MON 00Z 28-JAN -11.4   -20.3    1019      53       9    0.00     526     512    
MON 06Z 28-JAN -17.6   -16.6    1022      56      29    0.00     532     515    
MON 12Z 28-JAN -18.8   -11.8    1024      55      80    0.00     538     521    
MON 18Z 28-JAN -13.1    -8.4    1020      59      98    0.02     541     526    
TUE 00Z 29-JAN  -8.5    -3.8    1011      84      97    0.19     541     532    
TUE 06Z 29-JAN   2.4    -0.7    1001      87      99    0.12     537     536    
TUE 12Z 29-JAN   0.4    -3.0     995      98      99    0.32     531     535    
TUE 18Z 29-JAN  -6.4   -13.5     999      76      70    0.14     521     522    
WED 00Z 30-JAN -13.1   -20.9    1008      77      31    0.01     514     508    

 

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I won't get too excited about this system until we get to the weekend. We know for sure the arctic hammer is coming after this system.

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WPC

Interesting that they see at least a chance (for much of the forum) going into the 30th 

2F8DE984-D4E8-41BC-A042-AD42D5099F04.jpeg

992A8717-2D3B-479A-B40B-E6725031E27A.jpeg

Edited by Mulaman984

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It would be interesting to see if this storm system pans out.  Here at the top of Indiana the winter has been pretty much of a letdown as far as snow is concerned.   Pellet looking snow but none of those big fluffy snowflakes that I love.

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drop that arctic hammer with the preceding 3 ish clippers and push it back south like it was not even 24 hours ago. Voila 

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11 minutes ago, RobB said:

 

You're the man!

11 minutes ago, jpfalcon said:

I won't get too excited about this system until we get to the weekend. We know for sure the arctic hammer is coming after this system.

WTOL issued "First Alert" days for accumulating snow. Robert Shiels posted on twitter the potential for a significant storm with a map of what appears to be the earlier EURO run but with no snow totals.

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12 minutes ago, ryanmkay said:

You're the man!

WTOL issued "First Alert" days for accumulating snow. Robert Shiels posted on twitter the potential for a significant storm with a map of what appears to be the earlier EURO run but with no snow totals.

Unreal. Hype train started. 5 days out with a clipper system is asking for a bust.

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GEFS looks well to the south...

 

gefs6.png

gefs7.png

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3 minutes ago, jpfalcon said:

Unreal. Hype train started. 5 days out with a clipper system is asking for a bust.

So true.  I still have marks on me from getting run over by the last hype train.

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34 minutes ago, easton229 said:

Way too close to some rain and mixing in SE Oakland county there for comfort.

Yeah, it is strange how any 'green' would make it into SEMI.  NWS point n' click shows the area not getting out of the low-to-mid 20s.  

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32 minutes ago, WeatherMonger said:

How is this for responsible forecasting??

 

20190123_133408.thumb.jpg.5a161a749cd12efae921551fe5dabfd0.jpg

 

"REALLY STRONG CLIPPER" 

That's gonna be a yikes from me dawg.

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39 minutes ago, WeatherMonger said:

How is this for responsible forecasting??

 

20190123_133408.thumb.jpg.5a161a749cd12efae921551fe5dabfd0.jpg

 

I've seen far worse. 

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1 hour ago, MesoscaleBanding said:

GEFS looks well to the south...

 

gefs6.png

gefs7.png

EPS was south slso

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6 minutes ago, Snowman said:

EPS was south slso

The model cha-cha continues

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dtx afd update:

dtx.PNG

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Next week maybe one of those weeks where we will be out of school more days than in between the snow and cold. 

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Pretty much only good if you are north of I-69 in MI on 12z GFS. Northern lower MI gets pummeled.

Edited by easton229

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3 minutes ago, easton229 said:

Pretty much only good if you are north of I-69 in MI on 12z GFS. Northern lower MI gets pummeled.

Bullseye for me.

Doubt this will hold.

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