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junior

February 11-13th Winter Storm OBS

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Our next chance at some wintry stuff.

12z Euro ens

ecmwf-ens_z500_mslp_us_8.png

Edited by junior

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At its current modeled state the SE ridge status will be important. This is also attacking a high in place which is nice(for now).

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Granted the long WPC wintry precip outlooks have been bouncing around quite a bit lately, so FWIW, here’s Day 6 and Day 7.

BB3089A0-C600-4C8F-B0A8-B0CC9D86DACD.gif

90A6C349-DBFE-48CF-957F-82A1747E51F4.gif

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1 hour ago, Hiramite said:

Granted the long WPC wintry precip outlooks have been bouncing around quite a bit lately, so FWIW, here’s Day 6 and Day 7.

BB3089A0-C600-4C8F-B0A8-B0CC9D86DACD.gif

90A6C349-DBFE-48CF-957F-82A1747E51F4.gif

If I had a dollar for every time I showed up in the 10-30% category on day 6/7 and ended up with nothing or rain... I could have retired by now. :classic_tongue:

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A lot of fantasy snow on the 00z FV3 for the whole region next week.

fv3p_asnow_neus_41 fantasy.png

  • Wow! 1

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WPC’s Days 5, 6 and 7.

Quote

A8713C11-3E37-4EF3-8921-EA228B2C8455.gif.c2cac8f3f03b743b36108d09c39a1983.gif

A0BBD577-5DBF-4BB6-8B7C-5E493DD89B8E.gif.7fe9d90b06083b2a2102a8ebfb055187.gif

3E9E93C5-DDDA-4943-9183-0B86154723E0.gif.99df88920b82bc4645d4a8509461d728.gif

 

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This "wannabe be slider turned cutter" pattern🤬

Will probably still be favorable enough for the NW portion of the region, but anything strong enough to be worthy, will be cutting. I think Chicago probably scores 1-2 hits in this upcoming pattern, looks like 3-5 shots on goal. 

This one in particular looks like a 1-2" northern OV potential.....yee....haw... 

download.png

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That 6z FV3 though lol. 

snku_024h.us_ov.png

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3 hours ago, Ingyball said:

That 6z FV3 though lol. 

snku_024h.us_ov.png

What the model is really saying to KY, S. OH, W. WV and SE IN. :classic_smile:

***If it crosses an inappropriate barrier, I'll take it down.*** 

Not today guys image removed

 

Edited by PlanetMaster
Opps forgot the attachment
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  • Haha 6

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1 hour ago, NKYSnowLover said:

What the model is really saying to KY, S. OH, W. WV and SE IN.

If it crosses an inappropriate barrier, I'll take it down. :classic_smile:

 

Thats hilarious!  I think thats a very funny spin on this weather model 

Edited by PlanetMaster
Removed Image

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Oh yay! Thanks for making the thread @junior. :D 

I still think this entire period has potential. And no, I'm not bribing the FV3. LOL.

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1 hour ago, NKYSnowLover said:

What the model is really saying to KY, S. OH, W. WV and SE IN. :classic_smile:

***If it crosses an inappropriate barrier, I'll take it down.*** 

 

Really? Do you think Mother Nature gives a damn about the finger? please remove that cause it is childish to say the least. Thanks

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20 minutes ago, PlanetMaster said:

Really? Do you think Mother Nature gives a damn about the finger? please remove that cause it is childish to say the least. Thanks

He's was just trying to be humorous...

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just to clarify that FV3 map is for the next storm, beyond this threads

1.png

Edited by ohiobuckeye45

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I'm confused...is this thread meant for the weak Sun./Mon. system or the stronger Tues./Wed. storm???

  • Confused 1

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Storm on Tuesday a western cutter on 12z GFS. I'm sure that's what will happen, too. 

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9 minutes ago, chicagosnow said:

Storm on Tuesday a western cutter on 12z GFS. I'm sure that's what will happen, too. 

Yeah, looks like a carbon copy of what will happen tomorrow/Fri.

 

Gross.

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9 minutes ago, chicagosnow said:

Storm on Tuesday a western cutter on 12z GFS. I'm sure that's what will happen, too. 

the wanna be slider turned cutter pattern continues

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Cranky says we should have a good idea about track on Friday and not to bother right now. 

I say the trend we've been in with these disgusting cutters is just going to continue. 

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We should probably create a separate thread for the weaker Feb. 10-11 system. That's probably the better shot for a snowmaker for most of us.

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yeah we need to decide on what this thread is and adjust dates, judging by the initial post of a 1014MB slider low I thought this was the weaker of the 2 systems

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