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White Christmas?

Tracking latest odds and possible events for the holidays

Grace

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Grace last won the day on November 23

Grace had the most liked content!

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  1. Grace

    Winter 2018-2019 | Outlooks and Discussion

    ESNO looks similar...2002 did not have a modoki look until mid-Jan. Here's Nov, 2002 versus latest monthly at ESRL. 2002 was certainly stronger at this point
  2. Grace

    Winter 2018-2019 | Outlooks and Discussion

    Went through all the El Nino years since 1979 & the closest matches for since October 1 until present is 2002 & 2014...and it's not even close. What does it mean? It may mean nothing...I dunno. It may be a meaningless fact...but interesting nonetheless. 2002 is the #1 year
  3. Grace

    Winter 2018-2019 | Outlooks and Discussion

    500mb since October 15 I have a really hard time believing this means nothing moving forward. That's all I will say
  4. Grace

    Winter 2018-2019 | Outlooks and Discussion

    Go see my post on DEC JAMSTEC on page before. I showed last 3 years compared to verification. Last year is the best since 2009. With that said it could be correct.
  5. Grace

    Winter 2018-2019 | Outlooks and Discussion

    12z EPS Day 10, 10mb Strat....I see no reason to post anything beyond day 10. I'll post each day 10 over the next week. That's a major SSW by DEC 23
  6. Grace

    December 23rd-26th Storm

    0z Euro....I didnt see posted so. It's the system over Texas panhandle
  7. Grace

    Winter 2018-2019 | Outlooks and Discussion

    Oh I know...I saw yestersay's post. My first sentence was in jest.
  8. Grace

    Winter 2018-2019 | Outlooks and Discussion

    JMA UPDATED for JAN-MAR...I'll post month by month JANUARY FEBRUARY MARCH JANUARY-MARCH Mean...kind of a poor man's 2015 version
  9. Grace

    Winter 2018-2019 | Outlooks and Discussion

    Don't break a leg to hurry & post. Before everyone jumps off the cliff here's JAMSTEC's last 3 December updates regarding winter 2015-16...MISSED BAD 2016-17...MISSED BAD 2017-18...PRETTY DECENT For whatever reason JAMSTEC's December updates for winter have historically been bad. Does that mean this one will be bad? Remains to be seen. Could be spot on...who knows. Looks very 1986-87 to me, which some folks I respect have that as number one analog. I don't...but I'm not as knowledgeable as the folks I'm referring to.
  10. Grace

    Winter 2018-2019 | Outlooks and Discussion

    Same thing as above post
  11. Grace

    Winter 2018-2019 | Outlooks and Discussion

    Only thing I don't get is your 500mb map has a cold look...in fact would be cold. I don't see that coming with said storm...yet.
  12. Grace

    Winter 2018-2019 | Outlooks and Discussion

    Yep...0z EPS has a stronger ridging presence in east in LR. I'm sure it'll go back & forth until finally locking on the right one, which I have no clue which is. Figured yesterday was more correct because of the other signals I posted about.
  13. Grace

    Winter 2018-2019 | Outlooks and Discussion

    The next round of warming I referred last week for region 1 & 2 has begun. Remember....its temporary...warmth will surface then migrate west & region 1& 2 cools just like last go around. In east base regions 1 & 2 hardly cool.
  14. Grace

    Winter 2018-2019 | Outlooks and Discussion

    And I remember this from JD a few pages back
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