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Spring Fever Spreading

Will Spring be on time for your region? Join the Conversation >> Long Range Spring Outlook


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StretchCT last won the day on February 28

StretchCT had the most liked content!

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About StretchCT

  • Birthday March 6

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  • Locale
    Sandy Hook, CT


  • Interests
    Thunder, snow, thundersnow, palm trees in the snow

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  1. StretchCT

    March 21-23, 2019 | Winter Storm

    Trend for the GEFS - now at the point where it would rain for a lot of us even if in January. Look at 850s Too bad about the surface temps
  2. StretchCT

    March 21-23, 2019 | Winter Storm

    Dude check out the thread after this one
  3. CMC - 500mb looked pretty good, if it were the beginning of March. But the surface woudn't even work in January - typical of this year
  4. That's crazy. Adding the pivotal to show snow in SC...at the end of march.
  5. StretchCT

    March 21-23, 2019 | Winter Storm

    Nice clustering near the BM on the 12z GEFS Nice negative tilt.
  6. StretchCT

    March 21-23, 2019 | Winter Storm

    GFS and FV3
  7. StretchCT

    March 21-23, 2019 | Winter Storm

    Now the NAM on the other hand....man I'd love to see the next 4 frames.
  8. EPS snow map 10:1 Might be wondering, how? There's a streak across on the 26th Sfc temps much more condusive than the 22nd. As are 925s - 0 line over ocean - those aren't warm winds and 850s
  9. Don't think this one will cut it for blizzard, but who knows. Heads east after this frame.
  10. Well this is fun.
  11. StretchCT

    March 21-23, 2019 | Winter Storm

    I keep doing these elaborate posts, but then go to press submit and its greyed out and "saving..." So I'll try to recap....the cyclogensis/bombogenesis will cause strong upward motion which then causes dynamic cooling. In the spoiler are the 700mb uvv maps from the Euro As you can see, the areas of upward motion remain offshore until hitting SNE, and the temps don't respond until after that. Now is that where the area of upward motion will be the greatest? The 500mb map has some vorticity on it in the same area, but I'd like to see there be an upper low to better predict. Its just not there, and frankly, a mess at that level. I'd also look at the 700mb low. It doesn't form until hr 90 which is a little too late. Even then, the circulation isn't established as evidenced by the southerlies north of the 284. Its cranking by hr 96 though.
  12. StretchCT

    March 21-23, 2019 | Winter Storm

    850 temps and precip
  13. StretchCT

    March 21-23, 2019 | Winter Storm

    925 temps and upward motion. The UVV is a little offshore to bring down the temps. Its just not cold enough yet to get anything but white rain until further north.
  14. StretchCT

    March 21-23, 2019 | Winter Storm

    Euro run - a bit slower version