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US Wild Weather

Extreme active pattern across the entire US continues, what does it mean for your region? Join the conversion

Weatherdude1993

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About Weatherdude1993

  • Birthday 07/06/1993

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  • Locale
    Oakville, ON

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  • Interests
    Weather
  • Perfect Day
    Record breaking warmth and sunshine.

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  1. Weatherdude1993

    Winter 2018-2019 | Outlooks and Discussion

    Last year at this time, it looked like we would see major -NAO and -AO blocking during the month of March, limiting big warmth. Neither 2015 or 2014 looked warm in March at this time either. Therefore, while the early part looks cold, the rest of the month could potentially be warm. Kind of like 2016.
  2. Weatherdude1993

    Spring 2019

    In developing El Nino years, at least a couple of months between April and November tend to be well below normal, as we saw in 2018 with April and November; 2015 with June and August; and 2009 with June, July, and October. Summer was surprisingly hot last year for a year with a developing El Nino. Developing La Nina years are more likely to avoid extreme cold during an April to November period (2016, 2010, 1998).
  3. Weatherdude1993

    Spring 2019

    With El Nino re-developing, I wouldn't be surprised if the summer of 2019 ends up similar to 2014 and 2009. It seems like every four or five years since 1992 we get a complete non-summer (2014, 2009, 2004, 2000, 1996, 1992). 2017 almost made the cut but was saved by those glorious last few weeks of September.
  4. Weatherdude1993

    Winter 2018-2019

    Another interesting part of this winter is that although we are averaging similar temperature-wise to last year, maybe slightly warmer this year, the timing of the warmth and cold has been almost the exact opposite of last year since December.
  5. Weatherdude1993

    Winter 2018-2019

    I hope we are done with major winter storms this season, although given that March usually has at least one major winter storm (With some exceptions), I am not holding my breath. I would hate to see flooding or delayed warming becoming a concern because of a heavy snowpack relative to normal.
  6. Weatherdude1993

    Winter 2018-2019 | Outlooks and Discussion

    December 2015 was over 10F above normal in the Great Lakes.
  7. Weatherdude1993

    Spring 2019 | Outlooks and Discussions

    I totally agree with you. It may not be a super warm March, but unlike other recent March's where the cold was evenly spread out pretty much all month, there are definitely signs of a warmer trend later on.
  8. Weatherdude1993

    Spring 2019 | Outlooks and Discussions

    It seems like we have really jumped out of the 2014 Ice Age at other times of the year, given the past four relatively mild winters, May almost always warm except for 2017, two of the last three summers being very hot, and falls with the exception of 2018 trending warm. However, early spring continues to be a struggle for the Great Lakes. I'm hoping this year will break the trend at least somewhat. A year where both March and April are at least normal would be a huge accomplishment at this point (Doesn't even have to be like 2012 or 2010. 2009 or 2006 would make the cut even). It is still early to say for sure though that over 50% of March days will be below normal.
  9. Weatherdude1993

    Spring 2019 | Outlooks and Discussions

    GFS shows a big cold blast around March 5. If a warmup comes between March 10-14 in the Great Lakes and stays warm for the rest of March, we could be looking at a March similar to 2007 and 2003 (Also weak to moderate El Nino winters).
  10. Weatherdude1993

    Winter 2018-2019 | Outlooks and Discussion

    It's no wonder the Great Lakes has seen so many ice storms this month. Seems like a less extreme version of February 2008 where I am.
  11. Weatherdude1993

    Winter 2018-2019

    Part of me smells March 2007 or 2003. March started frigid those years but warmed up drastically later on.
  12. Weatherdude1993

    Spring 2019 | Outlooks and Discussions

    That is my biggest complaint of the weather this past decade in the Great Lakes. Having days above 50F in February is awesome, no doubt, but it would be nice to see a good stretch of those types of days in March for a change too. We have been paying for March 2012 for too long, lol.
  13. Weatherdude1993

    Winter 2018-2019 | Outlooks and Discussion

    But February has been warmer than normal in the Southern Great Lakes? I mean this is no 2011-12, but this is not 2014-15 or 2013-14 either. We are seeing more variability. Keep in mind that the late January polar vortex only lasted a few days. My only complaint this month is the constant icy sidewalks. The park by my house is practically a skating rink. Nearly impossible to walk on. There has been a fair amount of snow here but it's been close to normal. Temperature-wise, I have no complaints as any cold we have seen has not been extreme or sustainable.
  14. Weatherdude1993

    Winter 2018-2019 | Outlooks and Discussion

    And the past four February's have been the exact opposite of 1993, at least in the Great Lakes.
  15. Weatherdude1993

    Winter 2018-2019

    This is the third day with school cancellations since Jan. 29 where I am. This is what happens when there is severe cold just to the west of the Great Lakes (Similar to February 2008).
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