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US Major Winter Storm

Big snow maker to cross country into this weekend, join the conversation!

JJAvon

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  1. JJAvon

    January 19-21, 2019 | Winter Storm

    Srefs show 4 inches snow for BDL. But 2 mean for qpf. A lot of qpf plops at 2.5 inches liquid. My call in the Farmington valley based on the nam is 6-10 inches of sleet and snow. I seem to recall something similar in the last couple years. Not sure you’ll ever measure 10 inches total from packing down but I bet I’ll clear 4 inches of snow than 4-6 more of sleet after it changes
  2. JJAvon

    January 19-21, 2019 | Winter Storm

    I’ve already moved on. But it’s hard to unsee the other models
  3. JJAvon

    January 19-21, 2019 | Winter Storm

    My daughter just said pink and purple are her favorite colors. She may think differently after hearing the sound of cracking trees and loud shaking house after a tree hits it.
  4. JJAvon

    January 19-21, 2019 | Winter Storm

    Anyone know why the ukmet is not on tropical tidbits?
  5. JJAvon

    January 19-21, 2019 | Winter Storm

    Yeah I noticed this, 998 at hour 84 vs nam 1009 at 84 on the 12z
  6. JJAvon

    January 19-21, 2019 | Winter Storm

    Holy Icon absolutely thumping and raging over SNE. Low jumps back south at 120 and looks like it’s not close to being done
  7. JJAvon

    January 19-21, 2019 | Winter Storm

    I’m assuming that it’s still raging at this point.
  8. JJAvon

    January 19-21, 2019 | Winter Storm

    Following the little Canadian clipper on the 0z nam. It seems to be our first piece to the puzzle in dislodging some much colder air
  9. JJAvon

    January 19-21, 2019 | Winter Storm

    So I’m in Hartford county CT, Kutchera says minimal snow. ZR says none... 4-4.5 qpf of sleet equals 12-13.5 inches of sleet. That would be a record for me... good thing it’s only one run.
  10. JJAvon

    January 19-21, 2019 | Winter Storm

    January of 1998. Upstate NY as well. The north country was obliterated. I remember driving through on a bus going to a hockey game in Potsdam. Every tree was snapped in half or weighted down to the ground.
  11. JJAvon

    January 19-21, 2019 | Winter Storm

    Yeah I’m not sure I want to be under the 4-4.5 qpf area, if it’s coming down as rain.....I had thoughts about a month ago that this seems like the season for an epic ice storm....
  12. JJAvon

    January 19-21, 2019 | Winter Storm

    113. I don’t think I’ve ever seen that on a fantasy snowmap. That’s 10 feet of snow with 5-6 feet of snow for a good chunk of Maine. Ooooooof And that’s the Euro. Doesn’t the gfs usually have a dryer bias... I know it’s crazy far out, but if it continues I’m curious to the output of a nam or Euro if the dynamics were to stay exactly the same, which they won’t. 🤪
  13. The 12z euro control has something for 240 hours as well. New thread... not yet pale, the 10 day jinx is real this year!!!!!!
  14. JJAvon

    December 14-17, 2018 | "Winter" Storm

    Euro looks really slow with this storm. Like it might not get going at the coast till 264.. that’s my guess with 0 access
  15. JJAvon

    December 8-10, 2018 | Winter Storm

    Hey all!! Long time no talk.... just lurking for a couple weeks after I found y’all. A few thoughts. Im in line with UTS on the pesky details to the north being sorted. Seems odd to watch the local weather this morning and see a 10 day with nothing but this potential for any precipitation. Is this cutoff low going to just turn the fire hose off in the northeast? After so many rounds of low pressure, the entire north is going to flip to big highs? Maine Jay mentioned how the Nam has nailed the first 2 extreme northern storms of the season and I for one have witnessed with many of you the song and dance of model mayhem....This one has dragged me back into the long term tracking. I guess it was the deep blues I saw at hour 240 a few days ago. Happy tracking! JJ.Avon Formerly Jon Johnson accuweather
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