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Spring Fever Spreading

Will Spring be on time for your region? Join the Conversation >> Long Range Spring Outlook

NKYSnowLover

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NKYSnowLover last won the day on February 4

NKYSnowLover had the most liked content!

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    Florence, Kentucky

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  1. NKYSnowLover

    March 14, 2019 | Pi Day Severe Outbreak

    Marble sized hail reported at WLWT studios in Cincy. Nickel sized hail at CVG. Unofficial reports of half dollar sized hail just north of downtown Cincy.
  2. NKYSnowLover

    March 14, 2019 | Pi Day Severe Outbreak

    Photo from the Eastgate area in Clermont Co, OH
  3. NKYSnowLover

    March 14, 2019 | Pi Day Severe Outbreak

    Hearing that there are several homes with significant roof damage in Carroll Co, KY.
  4. NKYSnowLover

    March 14, 2019 | Pi Day Severe Outbreak

    Cleared my house. Looks like the absolute worst of it crossed about 1 to 2 miles to my south. I have no clue how they are down there, but the sky was spinning hard when it came over.
  5. NKYSnowLover

    March 14, 2019 | Pi Day Severe Outbreak

    Sirens blaring in Florence KY
  6. NKYSnowLover

    March 14, 2019 | Pi Day Severe Outbreak

    Its about to get real for me in the next 20 minutes.
  7. NKYSnowLover

    March 14, 2019 | Pi Day Severe Outbreak

    From the perspective of yesterday...the underselling I think comes with the perceived connotation of the word "slight" to the general public. I agree that the discussion offers more meat to understand the threat, but let's be honest, what % of the public do you think actually reads that? What often gets reported by broadcast news outlets is a graphic of the broad categorizations. Now, I am glad that for today, they decided to go "Enhanced" in the primary strike zone. I always tend to err on the side of overwarn, but I fully recognize the delicate balance they must play. Consistently overwarning the public leads to skepticism when the next headlines for an event comes out if the previous event doesnt pan out to the communicated magnitude. I dont envy being in their seats at all from that POV.
  8. NKYSnowLover

    March 14, 2019 | Pi Day Severe Outbreak

    It's a gross setup that I think is getting undersold right now by the SPC a little. I hope they go with "enhanced" across S IN at the very least and SW OH/NKY for expanded awareness tomorrow.
  9. No worries my friend, definitely didnt take any of your reply personally. When I read your post and reread mine, I could see where anyone could draw similar conclusions, so I wanted to definitely set the record straight on my intent.
  10. I think you may have misinterpreted my OP, so let me take this opportunity to clarify. Where I think the wires have been crossed is that you potentially read my post to say that I think this board, en masse, is actively partaking in wishing for the worst severe weather possible. That is NOT the case at all. This board, in my opinion, contains some of the richest information and discussion on the internet today when it comes to weather. That's something that the ultra-dedicated posters @RobB, @ClicheVortex2014, @PlanetMaster, @raindancewx, @Phased Vort, @MaineJay, @Central Illinois and many more should be extremely proud of. It is the reason I decided to donate to help keep this board going. I have been following weather for the better part of 25 years and have been a part of many discussion boards since 2002/2003. This board is second to none when it comes to posting well thought, empirically backed content. In fact, I wish that this board had greater reach in the public because I do think the breadth/depth of detail included, particularly when tracking events, could and would lead to lives saved. Now with that said, do I think we all have moments where our broader judgment lapses and our focus is placed too much on what didn't happen in the moment relative to an expectation? Yes, I do. I've had the great privilege to get to know several of you on this forum, even back from the Accuweather days, and the reason I posted this entire thing originally was because those who I spoke to had similar feelings. I'm not going to commit time to specifically finding posts that are not recent and putting names out there to highlight those moments. That's wrong and anyone I've ever had a qualm with I have PM'ed to address it. The post was not a passive aggressive attack directed toward anyone specifically or anyone's recent comments. What I will say is that I think we can all agree here that we have seen something along the lines of "well, that busted and sucked" or "this morning rain needs to move out now, otherwise its trashing the severe weather possibility this afternoon due to lack of sun and instability" in our time on the boards. I've even seen it here before. It's human nature to be disappointed when an expectation doesn't come to fruition, especially when tracking that expectation is your passion. What my OP is meant to embody is that before anyone expresses frustration about what didn't happen, reflect on the fact that by it not happening people's property and lives managed to go unscathed that day. That's the celebration that I speak of... that for one day, science was wrong and people benefited from it. I cant say I've ever seen many posts that say something to the effect of "wow, glad that didn't pan out like expected or possible. Good to have a low key day." Have you? You, and other posters on this thread, are exactly right. We dont get a say in what happens in weather. That's left to power that I fundamentally dont believe we will ever truly understand.
  11. I wanted to throw this post out there as just a thought starter and moment of reflection. Just to level set, it's not directed at any one person or a person's comment(s) I have recently seen. I think as we go into Spring, severe weather season can be exciting and fun. I remember as a kid loving to sit out on the front porch on our swing watching the lightning and listening for the loudest booms of thunder. The more it vibrated my chest the better. I was a certified junkie and proud of it. Now I wouldnt say my love for it ever surpassed my love for winter weather, but it certainly rivaled it. Three days changed my life and I know all three dates without having to ever look them up... August 6th, 1993, September 18th, 2003 and March 1st, 2017. August 6th 1993: This day started like every other. I was a teen at the time obsessed with weather and there was a solid chance of severe storms that day. I couldnt wait to get home from school and track them. It was early afternoon when a cell showed up along US 460 south of Richmond, VA and was tracking ENE toward Colonial Heights where I lived at the time. I was so excited. On the old weather channel radars, this thing was a red lollipop on a beeline toward my back yard and then lo and behold a tornado warning popped as well. The whole screen turned red with the scrolling warning and adrenaline rushed through me. 10 minutes later the storm hit and sure enough I heard the "roar" growing in the background. At that point, I sought shelter in our bathroom with my mom. A couple of minutes later the "roar" diminished and the bathroom was in one piece. When I walked out the bathroom, our house was fine minus a couple of broken windows, but I looked down the road and saw several homes completely destroyed. There are two things I will never forget about the F4 tornado that struck that day (called the " Wal-Mart tornado" locally because it ripped the roof off the Colonial Heights Wal-Mart): 1. the screams of the people who were trapped in the destroyed homes. Luckily, all of them came out alive, but with injuries. And 2. the reaction from a grown man I got when I found a broken picture frame in our yard with a photo of him, his wife and his kids. I've never seen a man come that unglued in my life, but I could tell he appreciated the moment like no other because he had something from his past that the tornado didnt take away from him. September 18th 2003: I was still living in Virginia at the time and was now a senior in HS. The week before hand was consumed with watching Hurricane Isabel traverse the Atlantic. We had been hit by hurricanes before... Fran 1996 & Floyd 1999 come to immediate mind... so many took Isabel in stride. By mid morning on the 18th, the ferocity of the rain and wind that started and would last for 12 hours was nothing like I had ever experienced before. At times the roar of the hurricane winds sounded like the roar of the 1998 tornado. Now while, the hurricane itself was bad, what compounded the situation was a very wet summer. If you've ever been on the other side of the Appalachians, you know most communities are amongst heavily forested areas. I'll never forgot the moment... it was around 530 pm... when my family and I were sitting in the great room and heard the large pine tree in the front yard come crashing down through the house. It felt like and sounded like a bulldozer hitting the house. Luckily, the damage was confined to the attic areas (with some ceiling damage due to rain water). By morning on the 19th, we were able to walk the streets to assess the damage. Many people were not as fortunate as we were. On our street of 25-30 houses, only 6 didnt have a tree through them. 2 of my friends in the neighborhood were displaced for weeks as they worked on rebuilding their homes. March 1st 2017: This was my second year in NKY after moving in 2015. I was getting ready to go to work and noticed a large line of severe thunderstorm warnings accompanying a very strong bowed line of storms approaching the Cincinnati area around 630 am. I decided to stay at the house until the storms passed and thank god I didnt. We were hit with serious straight line winds. When I didnt venture out around 45 minutes later to go to work, 4 tractor trailers had been tipped over, 2 businesses lost their roofs and countless stoplights/power poles were down. It was still too dark to assess damage on my own home, but when I got home that afternoon, I was able to look. I must have had a golden horseshoe that day because on our street, our home was 1 of 3 to not sustain any major roof or siding damage. The common thing all 3 homes had was the angle of the house, which was shifted inward vs. the other homes that sustained damage. So what is my point to this long post with a rehash of three stories in my life? For a long time, I used to wish the most extreme events to happen no matter what. Then I watched people's homes get destroyed in a tornado, experienced my parent's home getting damaged in a hurricane and brushed with severe damage on the home I now own. I can say without a doubt that all of those things fundamentally changed me as a person and a weather enthusiast. I realized that every time I cheered on the most severe storms possible, while I satisfied my itch to track and indulge in the science, there were people on the receiving end that lost their homes, their possessions, sometimes their lives. When I go to message boards across the web, it makes me cringe when I see people having an "aw shucks" moment when the most severe of solutions doesnt pan out. Is this something we should be sad about or celebrate? I'm certainly not one to judge either way, but I ask all to think about that as we go into the season. Net, my ask is let's be the place that strives to be the latter. While dejecting for the enthusiasts the bust always is, ordinary people's lives and property are safe because science was wrong that day. I dont know about you, but I'll always be able to live with that. That's my "food for thought" soapbox of the year. Thanks for taking the time to read it if you made it to this point.
  12. NKYSnowLover

    March 7th-8th OV/GL Winter Storm

    12z GFS kuchera... looks like 1-2" for everyone with 3-4" lollipops possible (especially for the IL/IN folks).
  13. NKYSnowLover

    March 7th-8th OV/GL Winter Storm

    This storm needs a new thread. It's a separate system from the Thursday/Friday system. Day 5 (this thread): Day 7 (what you all are talking about):
  14. NKYSnowLover

    March 3rd-5th Winter Storm

    2018-2019 winter in NKY: Total Snowfall (if taken 120 hours before storm verbatim): 70" Total Snowfall (if taken 60 hours before storm verbatim): 45" Real Total Snowfall: 10.2"
  15. NKYSnowLover

    March 3rd-5th Winter Storm

    3+ and 6+ probs per 12z Euro Ens
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