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KENNYP2339

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KENNYP2339 last won the day on July 4

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About KENNYP2339

  • Birthday 03/01/1985

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    NWNJ

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    Nor'easter

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  1. 70MPH winds w/ ping pong hail size - radar estimate
  2. Heads up folk MCS forming in Canada ... I drew lines of the potential path, the MCS movement is east south east at 50mph, puts that near the coast around 8:30pm. @Mike W IN ALTMAR @StretchCT @Miller A
  3. Looks like the heaviest is going to miss me by 5-8 miles, I'm to far north.. satellite tv starting to get snowy. Its a constant rumble outside, with very dark clouds to my south west. Edit - In the middle of the storm now, just a few light gusts <20mph but very heavy rain, the rain feels so warm and tropical.
  4. D9 cell will be very close to @Miller A 's place then mine after if it keeps its track, should be interesting.... for some that don't know, if you flip your radar to the velocity setting you can see wind speeds & rotation in some cases, this is pretty handy especially when trying to judge stronger storms (straight line) because you van see the gust front. In this case today I'm looking at 45kt winds Edit - cell just went severe
  5. Meso : Mesoscale Discussion 1500 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1203 PM CDT Wed Jul 17 2019 Areas affected...portions of the Mid-Atlantic and Northeast Concerning...Severe potential...Watch possible Valid 171703Z - 171930Z Probability of Watch Issuance...60 percent SUMMARY...Storm coverage will increase in the coming hours and storms will move east-northeast across the Mid-Atlantic and Northeast along and east of the Appalachians. Damaging wind is the main severe threat with these storms, and a severe thunderstorm watch issuance is possible. DISCUSSION...An upper-level shortwave trough is currently moving over the Great Lakes and into the Mid-Atlantic and Northeast per satellite imagery. Forcing for ascent is spreading downstream of this trough helping to initiate storms across the Appalachians. Ahead of the cloud cover, surface temperatures have already warmed into the 80s F with dewpoints mostly in the 70s resulting in MLCAPE of 500-2000 J/kg. Storms will develop as areas reach their convective temperatures and along a weak pre-frontal trough that is focusing surface convergence south-southwest across the region with building Cu already on visible satellite imagery. Flow through the vertical layer is marginal, but effective bulk shear of 25-35 knots is expected this afternoon/evening that will result in isolated supercells. Overall, the storm mode will be mixed given the strong upper-level forcing, forecast 2000-3000 J/kg of MLCAPE, and marginal shear. Upscale growth is possible with these storms and any QLCS or supercell could pose a damaging wind threat. ..Nauslar/Guyer.. 07/17/2019
  6. Expect to see a meso disc in the next hour or so, storms are starting to light off in central PA and southern NY, cape in our area is pretty high.
  7. Meh you guys are missing out on life, Saturday morning I'm off to the fd to weed whack and spray weeds, then back home to cut up logs and work on my tan... 107 heat index, walk in the park, plus I might be working in the afternoon, expecting some overloaded transformers and stuff. @MDBlueRidge don't steal my thunder bruh, follow my lead with this one haus. (we'll get @Wx_WhatWX? out of the house, crank his AC real low, drink all his beer then high tail it to @PlanetMaster's pool.)
  8. It looks like the apex of summer is rolling in mid week and will stick around for a bit. The over all pattern is reminiscent of late June 2011, high heat and humidity. While premature to see anything in the pipeline, the ingredients are in place for disturbances to yield derecho like storms, yes its a reach but if we get a weak front with a meso scale system that develops, they feed off of this type of pattern.
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