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Spring Fever Spreading

Will Spring be on time for your region? Join the Conversation >> Long Range Spring Outlook


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RobBucksPA last won the day on September 28 2018

RobBucksPA had the most liked content!

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    Home with the family. Steaks on the grill. 66 degrees. Low humidity. Wind from the North at 6MPH. No bugs flying around. Three clouds in the sky.

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  1. This is looking like a good warning. If the forecasts are correct, we are in for a thumping, and we have enough warning to prepare for it. Good idea.
  2. Kenny eating crow is kind of par for this storm, and not just for Kenny. I've been keeping an eye on the forecasts over the last 36 hours, and they have whipsawed all over the place. At noon yesterday my evening low was predicted to be 64 degrees and I considered turning on the AC since that wouldn't really cool the house down much. Six hours later I had a tornado watch coming, and a low forecast at 57 degrees. This morning's showers have morphed into downpours, pounding on my roof even as I type this. Kenny is hardly the only person eating crow. OTOH, it was Kenny and many others who saw the overall trend coming and started this thread. In the macro, Kenny nailed it. We tend to moan when winter storms don't pan out in the micro, even when they do pan out in the macro. "A large storm is coming" can be predicted accurately 5 or more days out, as we have seen here so many times. "IMBY," otoh, is often unpredictable even in the now-cast. We notice this in the winter, since we are all snow-hounds and over-consume the forecasts. Most people didn't notice that this storm has been as squirrely as any winter event you'd like to point at. Nailed in the macro - this has indeed been quite a weather event - but almost worthless in the micro. If it's more than a few miles out on radar, it's hard to say. I find this to be refreshing, when I'm not irritated that I can't plan anything. This is quite a storm, for April. "April downpours..."
  3. RobBucksPA

    Rob’s Personal Weather

    And... we are getting it! Isn't it glorious?
  4. While everyone tries to squeeze the last flakes out of the season, there is another weather phenomenon occurring in the NE/Mid-Atl region: a red flag warning for EPA. Yes, that's right, IT'S TOO DRY! Hard to believe, but it's actually been a bit dry here for something like 10 or more days. The ground is mostly dry, and the wind is high... red flag. Nobody wants a fire, of course, but I am indeed enjoying the dry weather.
  5. RobBucksPA

    Rob’s Personal Weather

    Puppeh is healing, largely because... NO WATER! It hasn't rained in quite a few days! Amazing. If tomorrow delivers on its promise, it will be MID-70'S AND SUNNY! I might faint.
  6. RobBucksPA

    Rob’s Personal Weather

    Ah, Spring... Do you see that cute puppeh in my profile? He's a beauty, isn't he? Yeah, well, he was crippled by the water this weekend. Being a water dog, and all, the mud from last week's deluge got stuck in one of his paws. Now, we clean his paws - literally dunk each of them in a bucket of water, run our fingers through the webbing between his toes to clean them out, dry them off, etc. - every time he goes out in this slop. It's an event, several times a day. This is one of the key drivers behind my looking to install some serious drainage in my backyard in the coming years. I've never needed it before, but our new "Waterworld" version of EPA will require it. Anyhow, we missed a bit on Saturday morning. By Saturday night the mud had hardened into what amounted to a stone, wedged between the pads of his paw. We discovered it when he was limping. Red, inflamed, and infected. We cleaned it, of course, and disinfected, and he's on the mend - but he was a mess for about 24 hours. All because of the mud that we now view as normal. Hey, Spring is always muddy around here. I get it. But not like this. As I've said many times here. we are now on a knife's edge. The water table is so high that even a normal "dry out," like we might see this week, doesn't give us any buffer for the next rain. Even 0.5" will flood. We were laughing, yesterday, at all of the "Street Flooded" signs that are just kept by the side of certain roads, now, face down but ready to be brought back into service in minutes. We could, seriously, use 2 or even 3 weeks without rain. Nobody is asking for a drought - we all know how miserable they can be - but a normalization to the long term would be most welcome...
  7. Here's an exciting development: more rain. Things were supposed to clear out by now, if you were reading the forecast yesterday, and they "kind of" have. We're getting some peeks of sunshine, even. OTOH, there is now a chance of Thunderstorms tonight, as cold air comes crashing in. Might be thunder-squalls, even. Remember when a clap of thunder, during snow, was an "event?"
  8. You know, at this point I've just resigned myself to living in Waterworld. My "bucolic stream" is now a raging brook as often as not. My lawn is a bog, much more often than not, and I welcome freezing weather just to firm it up. Sunshine is the exception, so we drink coffee and pretend that this is the Pacific NW. The slightest rain brings floods, now, since the water table and streams are already pretty much "peak." This rain, to nobody's surprise, has the road barriers up in the usual places. Storm ditches overflowing. Water running across roads. Yeah, that's how things are, now. In 100 years someone will cut a tree down in what was once my yard, and the rings will tell quite a story...
  9. I don't generally watch TV Mets anymore, but I was in a store last night and one was on the screen. He announced that this is the longest dry spell that EPA has seen since last summer. We were, last night, 8 or 9 days without rain. I was just in my backyard and I concur. The "lake" that has been formed in my lawn was dry for the first time since last summer. Amazing. The lawn, which is a tapestry of dog-paws-in-mud, is semi-dry. Amazing, again. The Met went to great lengths, waving his arms, "we don't need rain!" But... here it comes, probably. Even though we haven't had precip in 9 days, we *have* had water, since the last snowstorm took many days to melt off. During those warm days, the creeks swelled as you'd think they would. It's dry-er, but it's hardly dry out there. A nor'easter is not good news, frozen or not.
  10. Some water would be nice, for sure. Maybe a mudslide? Oh, a page topper! Better show a mudslide...
  11. Reggie - was it fluffy, or heavy? I have family in MA and I hope that they aren't over-working...
  12. What *is* coming, as is often the case, is pretty significant Cold. Not sub-zero, but single-digit lows for the next few nights in a lot of places. Get your walkways cleared today, gang, because once the hard freeze comes that stuff becomes concrete...
  13. Nice glue-storm. Thick, sticky snow, and plenty of it. Real heart-attack stuff, but pretty. Had to silicone the snow blower before I used it, but that did the trick. Very, very pretty, coating the trees. About 6 or 7" here in Bucks, as predicted. Spot on.
  14. RobBucksPA

    Rob’s Personal Weather

    Here comes another serious cold snap, behind the snow. We won’t see temps above freezing for many days, in March. Seasons continue to slide, it seems.
  15. Just fired it up this morning, to be sure. Started right up. One tire was soft. Got that inflated. Have all the fixings for French Toast. Ready!