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US Wild Weather

Extreme active pattern across the entire US continues, what does it mean for your region? Join the conversion

knorthern_knight

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    Vaughan, Ontario

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  1. The following is according to the GFS text forecast. It looks to hit aToronto approx 4 PM. BTW, freezing rain is for southern Ontario up to Hamilton. Toronto starts with snow turning to rain. Ottawa/Montreal/Quebec look to get straight snow. Here's the forecast.
  2. knorthern_knight

    February 17th-18th Winter Storm

    Right now the GFS text for Toronto has it starting up as a few flurries, and turning to rain. If anything it'll wash away whatever's left of the current system's snow accumulation.
  3. knorthern_knight

    February 17th-18th Winter Storm

    It looks like the GFS text forecast has moved a bit north. Southern Ontario looks to get 8-to-12 cm, and Ottawa/Montreal are now expecting a few flurries as well. Here's the GFS text...
  4. knorthern_knight

    February 17th-18th Winter Storm

    The latest GFS text forecast indicates 2-to-3 inchesfor southern Ontario, including Toronto.
  5. knorthern_knight

    February 17th-18th Winter Storm

    The FIM-8 6-hour snowfall maps show a total accumulation of a couple of inches, maybe a bit more around Niagara and St Catharine's area.
  6. knorthern_knight

    February 17th-18th Winter Storm

    Looks like 4-to-8 cm on the GFS text for southern Ontario from Windsor to Toronto.
  7. knorthern_knight

    February 12th-14th Winter Storm

    Feb 12th 00Z GFS text dials back southern Ontario snowfall amounts way down. There will be rain in the middle of the event. Another system closely following on the 15th/16th will bring even more rain. EC doesn't appear to trust the GFS, and continues with Winter Storm Warnings for Toronto and Hamilton. May the best model win. Ottawa/Montreal/Quebec get dumped on with straight snow in the first system. There's a small amount of rain or wet snow forecast for them in the second system.
  8. knorthern_knight

    February 12th-14th Winter Storm

    The 12Z FIM-8 snow prog has backed off 6-hour amounts for southern Ontario (what else is new?).
  9. knorthern_knight

    February 12th-14th Winter Storm

    Some eye-candy from the FIM-8. 6-hour snowfall amounts, in inches. Ottawa/Montreal and Maine and New Brunswick get hammered.
  10. knorthern_knight

    February 12th-14th Winter Storm

    As of 3:18 PM EC has upgraded to a Winter Storm Warning for Toronto etc, etc.
  11. knorthern_knight

    February 12th-14th Winter Storm

    The Feb 11 00Z GFS text has southern Ontario through Toronto with 12-to-20 cm of snow, but with rain on top of that, in the first system. It's backed off on precip amounts in the second system (15th/16th) and is now a mix of rain and snow instead of mostly rain. Ottawa/Montreal/Quebec are now forecast to get 35+ cm, all snow, in the first system. The second system is now mostly snow for them, but still has some rain. In general, this looks like a southward shift. Here are the details of both systems...
  12. knorthern_knight

    February 12th-14th Winter Storm

    I hate to be a debbie downer, but the Feb 10th 12Z GFS text has a significant chunk of rain in the middle of the event for southern Ontario (London/Kitchener/Hamilton/Toronto). Even worse is the storm that follows on the 15th/16th. Hint... Toronto won't need to call out the army... but they may need to call out the navy.
  13. Pellets coming down near Dufferin+Steeles (Toronto/Vaughan boundary).
  14. The Feb 6 00Z GFS text forecast is little-changed from the previous run. Again, London/Kitchener/Hamilton get freezing rain amounts to worry about as far as travel is concerned. Toronto gets mostly pellets with a small amount of freezing rain. Toronto/Ottawa/Montreal get small amounts of freezing rain, and Quebec City escapes unscathed. The forecast...
  15. An area of freezing rain is expected to move over Southwestern Ontario Wednesday morning. The freezing rain could persist for much of Wednesday before ending Wednesday evening or overnight. The Wednesday morning commute will likely be affected due to the potential for untreated surfaces to become icy Surfaces such as highways, roads, walkways and parking lots may become icy and slippery. Be prepared to adjust your driving with changing road conditions. Ice build-up may cause tree branches to break.
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