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Spring Fever Spreading

Will Spring be on time for your region? Join the Conversation >> Long Range Spring Outlook

Q-Zar

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    The exurban fringe of Atlanta, not far from Athens

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  1. Q-Zar

    Winter 2019-2020 | Outlooks and Discussion

    Dear Santa, may I have a December with a below-normal monthly temperature average for a change? As a bonus, may I have persistently cold temperatures for at least a week before and after Christmas? Thanks.
  2. Q-Zar

    Winter 2018-2019 | Outlooks and Discussion

    Looks like the South was the big loser this winter.
  3. Q-Zar

    Spring 2019 | Outlooks and Discussions

    If I'm reading those maps correctly, it looks like a hot and dry summer for the East Coast, especially in July and August, and a warm but wet summer for the Midwest. It also appears to be a back-loaded summer for the West.
  4. Q-Zar

    Winter 2018-2019 | Outlooks and Discussion

    Looks like a cold spell in Georgia for most of next week, followed by variable temperatures beginning next weekend.
  5. Q-Zar

    Winter 2018-2019 | Outlooks and Discussion

    Here are the average monthly temperature anomalies for December in my area since 1995: +11.0 in 2015 +4.9 in 2001 +4.4 in 1998 +4.4 in 2007 +4.4 in 2012 +4.1 in 2011 +3.3 in 2006 +3.1 in 2008 +3.1 in 2014 +2.2 in 2013 +2.0 in 2018 +1.7 in 2016 +1.2 in 1999 +1.1 in 2017 +1.0 in 1996 -1.6 in 1995 -1.7 in 1997 -1.7 in 2004 -1.8 in 2002 -3.3 in 2003 -3.3 in 2005 -3.4 in 2009 -8.0 in 2010 -8.5 in 2000 We're long overdue for a cold December here. The last one was in 2010.
  6. Q-Zar

    Winter 2018-2019 | Outlooks and Discussion

    In Georgia, I know for a fact that December will be warmer in the 1991-2020 normals for the following reasons: 1. We're losing cold Decembers in 1981, 1983, 1985 and 1989. 2. Every December since 2011 has been warmer than normal to some degree. 3. The warm Decembers in 1982 and 1984 are being replaced by the warmest December on record in 2015.
  7. Q-Zar

    Spring 2019 | Outlooks and Discussions

    It seems like the South has become the new tornado alley this decade. Compared to decades past, there seems to have been a decrease in tornado activity in the Great Plains, especially the central and southern Plains, and an increase in the South, especially the mid-South and the Deep South.
  8. Q-Zar

    Winter 2018-2019 | Outlooks and Discussion

    Good that California has gotten some much-needed rain and snow. Also good that winter will have one last hurrah here in the South during the first half of March. This February has been better than last February, first week of the month notwithstanding. We actually had a heat wave then, with temperatures in the 70s on the 5th and 6th, and the 80s on the 7th, which makes this the second February in a row with 80s. Otherwise, things have been OK, albeit with no snow or extreme cold. Only the 1st, 2nd and 14th had morning lows below freezing, and only the 1st had a morning low in the 20s. However, we've had several cold-air damming events since the heat wave ended, including the 9th-11th, the 17th, the 19th-20th and the 23rd. There was also a brief shot of continental cold air on the 13th-14th, resulting in our most recent sub-freezing morning. From the 10th-24th, there was measurable precipitation on 13 out of 15 days, including 10 days straight from the 15th-24th. Each cold-air damming event since the 9th-11th has been separated by a day or two of mild temperatures, and it was persistently cloudy and rainy regardless of the temperature. The last two days have been sunny and dry, and chilly in the mornings. The remainder of the month is going to be mild, with highs in the 60s and lows in the 50s, before the big push of continental cold air comes in like a lion to begin March. If you live in South and enjoy cold temperatures, then enjoy the first half of March, because the cold air is probably going away until November after that.
  9. Apparently this will be an overnight event for my area, during the wee hours of Sunday morning. Hopefully what's left of the cold-air wedge will take some of the vigor out of the storms.
  10. Q-Zar

    Winter 2018-2019 | Outlooks and Discussion

    Ahhhh, welcome back, blue. I ain't seen yo' ass in three weeks!
  11. There's a big line of thunderstorms moving through Georgia right now, and I'm about to get smash in the next hour or two! It's strengthened since moving out of Alabama! If I die, then it was nice knowing everybody!
  12. Q-Zar

    Winter 2019-2020 | Outlooks and Discussion

    1995-1996 and 2010-2011 are two wnters that I certainly wouldn't mind repeating. Hard "no" for the back-loaded 2007-2008, though. I haven't had a colder-than-normal December since 2010, and December 2007 was warm and shitty. I don't know how 1987-1988 was in the South, but in Pittsburgh it was slightly colder, slightly drier and significantly less snowy than normal. I wasn't alive for 1977-1978, but I've heard it was epic.
  13. Q-Zar

    Winter 2018-2019 | Outlooks and Discussion

    It looks like the West ended up with a winter after all, albeit back-loaded. Come to think of it, this winter appears to be back-loaded for the West, front-loaded for the South, overloaded for the Midwest, and variable for the Northeast.
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