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White Christmas?

Tracking latest odds and possible events for the holidays

Uscg ast

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Uscg ast last won the day on September 12

Uscg ast had the most liked content!

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    Ridge, NY

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    Homeland Security and Emergency Management Professional

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  1. Uscg ast

    December 19-21, 2018 | Storm Possibility

    That really is interesting. Looks like it's trying to phase almost. PNA looks nice in this frame also
  2. So many ways to take that 😂 😂
  3. Yes... Teleconnections look very good at this time frame. Also NAO and EPO are in transition, which further indicate the potential for a hit. The EPO and PNA also indicate the distinct possibility of a large baroclynic gradient setting up, with forcing up the EC. Furthermore, the AO looks to be around - 1 SD which would indicate that the cold would not be overwhelming and thus unlikely to cause surpression (See chart below). Likewise, keep in mind all of these predictions are still model forecasts and subject to change being 14 days out.
  4. Uscg ast

    December 8-10, 2018 | Winter Storm

    4. I'm going to eat crow.
  5. Uscg ast

    December 8-10, 2018 | Winter Storm

    I propose we promote @PlanetMasterto head janitor (E-6)
  6. Really enjoyed the write up. Informative and detailed. Thank you.
  7. Uscg ast

    December 14-17, 2018 | "Winter" Storm

    Were not even in technical winter yet. Just saying.
  8. Uscg ast

    December 8-10, 2018 | Winter Storm

    No doubt that the forcing from the sharp cutoff is causing some of these insane rates
  9. Uscg ast

    December 8-10, 2018 | Winter Storm

    I wouldn't be surprised if this bumps further North.
  10. Uscg ast

    December 8-10, 2018 | Winter Storm

    For the record, I am on the prowl. I may have to hunt and cook soon.... Edit: I am still not convinced that this does not come north...
  11. Uscg ast

    December 8-10, 2018 | Winter Storm

    May the odds be ever in your favor. Wait, wrong movie, same actor.
  12. Uscg ast

    December 19-21, 2018 | Storm Possibility

    The PNA looks essentially neutral here, which I would think plays more towards an inland track especially with AO in only slightly negative territory and the EPA neutral.
  13. Uscg ast

    December 14-17, 2018 | "Winter" Storm

    Yeah, the EPO is huge either way for us many times. At times a significantly -AO can overcome the flood of warm air from a +EPO, however, the EPO plays a large role with regards to sensible weather in the NE US. Nice write up by the way
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