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US Wild Weather

Extreme active pattern across the entire US continues, what does it mean for your region? Join the conversion

Uscg ast

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Uscg ast last won the day on January 17

Uscg ast had the most liked content!

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    Ridge, NY


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    Homeland Security and Emergency Management Professional

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  1. Uscg ast

    February 16-18, 2019 | Winter Storm

    It is very interesting to see the evolution of short range models in this split flow PAGE TOPPER BOOM "He who smiles in a crisis has found someone to blame"
  2. Off topic, and I've said this before, your avatar is from what I think is one of the creepiest holiday movies ever.
  3. That HP is in a much better spot, verbatim. Let's see if it keeps sliding East. Likewise.. Grain of salt with this pattern... Just saying.
  4. I am at 7.7" for the year. 4.7" of which fell in November https://projects.newsday.com/databases/long-island/snowfall-history/
  5. Again folks, until the Pacific split flow changes, there is going to be much variability with regards to models. As far as forecasting, I would stick to the seasonal pattern until there is concrete evidence to suggest otherwise.
  6. Uscg ast

    February 16-18, 2019 | Winter Storm

    Yeah, it's this darn split flow. There is so much energy but nothing to consolidate it, so the atmosphere is just flinging energy.
  7. Double banned. Life in solitary without access to weather forums. All you can do is look outside and wonder.
  8. Folks, I created a sub thread for the discussion of sub forums. I ask you use it.
  9. The STI is around - 7 last I looked. That would be a rather strong El Nino as long as it remains that deeply negative. In turn, this would mean atmospheric coupling should take place rather quickly. Combine this with the rather warm Atlantic SSTs, and the split flow -in theory- becomes singular, then we MAY be in business for a few doozy of a storms.
  10. People also keep forgetting the Pacific. Until that changes, you have to he skeptical of anything for the east coast with regards to wintry weather. Combine that with that SE ridge and you have pacific air flooding the eastern seaboard every time. That being said, we will see. 7 days out is 7 days out.
  11. Posts like this are confusing and lackluster, at best. If anyone posts these types of posts, they will be deleted and eventually a warning will ensue. I am not attempting to single anyone out here, but these types of posts are not constructive. Persons on here visit here to enjoy conversation, yet also to learn. Likewise, this post was highly inaccurate and subjective. There is still a storm on all three models, it is just depicted differently than previous runs.
  12. Uscg ast

    February 12-13, 2019 | Winter Storm

    You can see the CAD signatures. I labeled them in the pictures. Likewise, you can see how the warm front is being stalled just south of LI and then extending SW through C PA. Also, you can see the LP from the upper Midwest heading towards the new LP S of LI.
  13. Uscg ast

    February 12-13, 2019 | Winter Storm

    How's the LP off VA doing? On mobile. I have trouble with SPC page for some reason