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Spring Fever Spreading

Will Spring be on time for your region? Join the Conversation >> Long Range Spring Outlook

Al_Cvervik

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    Utica, MI

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  1. Al_Cvervik

    Spring 2019 | Outlooks and Discussions

    Last Thursday I got my hopes up when the air felt like spring air. Now as Motown puts it, we have the arctic pinwheel of cold in Quebec that never seems stop. On a positive note, there isn't snow on the ground. If you wanna bet on the weather, I would bet on wheat or Soybean futures, all that rain is going to take a while to dry up so the farmers can plant. I think el nino is actually a good for cocoa futures.
  2. Al_Cvervik

    Spring 2019 | Outlooks and Discussions

    Yes in Newfoundland last year there was a couple feet on the ground in June. I remember the story being in the news. It is funny that a bunch of jokers on a social forum can see this stuff but the guys getting paid to do it are soft/weak, lack discipline.
  3. Al_Cvervik

    Spring 2019 | Outlooks and Discussions

    I agree 100%. What is frustrating is the warm ups are always pushed out, hence my complaining that spring will be delayed. I was hopeful once the string of 50's popped up but those are long gone, back to low to mid 40's. So this morning it has Detroit it like this: Sunday 51 Monday 38 Tues 37 Wed 50 Thurs 55 any Wagers on those 50's for Sunday,Wed, and Thurs going poof?
  4. Al_Cvervik

    Spring 2019 | Outlooks and Discussions

    I understand and agree with everything you mentioned but why? Why since 2012 has this been a continual issue? Even better, when is the last time a mega ridge appeared in the east, stayed for months on end, resulted in temps being +8 degrees warmer than average? 2012? We can't even squeak out normal temps anymore, +8 degrees warmer than normal happens for a day and then poof. Keep in mind there is no other place on the planet (cold in the East) where this is happening so consistently.
  5. Al_Cvervik

    Spring 2019 | Outlooks and Discussions

    Doesn't a cooler summer follow el nino in the east, more specifically the Great Lakes?
  6. Al_Cvervik

    Spring 2019 | Outlooks and Discussions

    The warm humid air ahead of storm system yesterday felt amazing.
  7. Al_Cvervik

    Spring 2019 | Outlooks and Discussions

    I noticed this as well. Yesterday was a great day. 45 and full sun. I got to take the dog and my kid for a good long walk. Now I will agree this is starting to look different than last year.
  8. Al_Cvervik

    Spring 2019 | Outlooks and Discussions

    Yes this week here will be nice. The following week looks like it slips back into pattern of being below normal. After week 2, I don't put much faith into anything because the climate system is so complex. And from Friday 3/8 through the past weekend was also nice.
  9. Al_Cvervik

    Spring 2019 | Outlooks and Discussions

    Yes, if the signs were there. SER: not strong enough to cancel the cold MJO: I think it was in phase 2 last time I checked, which is cold for us, now if it were in 4 or 5, my outlook would change. I try not to be too pessimistic but I just don't see the factor that comes into play and changes the overall pattern. Yes, last summer was awesome as was the latter half of spring and beginning of fall. Even better was we haven't had a crappy summer since 2014. Minus the crazy nino and la nina year, this seems to play out too often. Warm/hot summer, fall changes slowly, December is always above normal, sometime in Jan, crap hits the fan, we pay for it dearly until May.
  10. Al_Cvervik

    Spring 2019 | Outlooks and Discussions

    My guess is that the older conditions that follow after this week will hold for a while, possibly into April. Nothing in the climate system seems to want to bring normal or warmer than normal temps here consistently. On the good side, 5-10 degrees below normal now is getting close to freezing point.
  11. Al_Cvervik

    Spring 2019 | Outlooks and Discussions

    You wanna bet on that? My guess still stands that April ends up colder than average. The overall pattern of cold in the Great Lakes in the Jan-Apr is not going away.
  12. Al_Cvervik

    Spring 2019 | Outlooks and Discussions

    IF we have a normal March, I will delete my account and leave the forum alone. I know there is no way in sam hell that it will happen.
  13. Al_Cvervik

    Spring 2019 | Outlooks and Discussions

    No surprise here Coldest temp anomalies in the world. I bet over the last ten years this happens to us more often than any other place in the world.
  14. Al_Cvervik

    Spring 2019 | Outlooks and Discussions

    I have to laugh. We had planned a trip this year to Oregon in May. What are the chances that the weather sucks there too? My Florida trip was canceled to due weather delays here, that was not a good weekend in the Czervik household.
  15. Al_Cvervik

    Spring 2019 | Outlooks and Discussions

    If this happens, easily winter until end of April possibly mid May. Is there anywhere else in the world that suffers like the Eastern US with this crap?
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