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East Coast Rain Blues

Why cold and snow is out and wet a warm remains the theme in the East, join in the conversation.

Al_Cvervik

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  1. Al_Cvervik

    Winter 2018-2019 | Outlooks and Discussion

    How would plants respond when the temp is 10 degrees below long term average but sunlight is still relatively constant? Normally by early April, you are cutting grass here, last year it was the end of April.
  2. Al_Cvervik

    Winter 2018-2019 | Outlooks and Discussion

    In addition to the weather patterns, there are key things like topography that makes the Eastern US more prone to cold weather. The west is isolated by the Rockies. When is the last time you heard about devastating cross losses in California due to cold? Unless some unforeseen volcanic belt pops, or the North American plate cracks in half and starts creating mountains, we will always bear the brunt of the cold. I would rather deal with bullet ants, poisonous spiders, snakes, and oppressive humidity in the tropics then spend 6 months stuck indoors, no sun, cold as crap. For our area, unless Feb modifies significantly, I could see us in a top 20 or even top ten coldest Feb on record.
  3. Al_Cvervik

    Winter 2018-2019 | Outlooks and Discussion

    Sweet find. My gut tells me that in 20 years, the winter season will be so long and cold that crops would have to shift south in the Eastern US.
  4. Al_Cvervik

    Winter 2018-2019 | Outlooks and Discussion

    Any chance on Feb 2019 being in the top ten coldest of all time for the Great Lakes? 90% of the days are between 6-10 degrees below average.
  5. Al_Cvervik

    Winter 2018-2019 | Outlooks and Discussion

    How can we have a delayed spring? Just refer back to cold years since 2012 in the east. Anytime the we get these cold spells and they are not part of a rolling warm/cold pattern, the cold sticks. Kind of like the west, once warmth and dryness make their mark, it is not easy for the west to become cold and wet again. I am not a weather guru and don't have time to pour through the data but my hunch is that there are very few times less than 10%, where once the vortex moves into mid latitudes, those areas reach normal temps again for a month or longer. Especially when it moves to area like mid west/eastern US. It effectively cuts off warm flow from gulf of mexico so the only moderation that happens is with time, but even those are muted until late in the season and the cold get reinforcement from the arctic
  6. Al_Cvervik

    Winter 2018-2019 | Outlooks and Discussion

    I am going down to New Smyrna Beach on Feb 28th. I have no confidence that normal temps will be achieved here or there . It is utterly depressing that nearly every year as of late has a delayed spring. How much longer before plants & trees stop their advance north because of this crap?
  7. Al_Cvervik

    Winter 2018-2019 | Outlooks and Discussion

    Betting on the east getting warm or normal is like betting a on three leg horse at the racetrack. Let's hope April is shot to crap as well for normal temps and a semi decent spring.
  8. Al_Cvervik

    Winter 2018-2019 | Outlooks and Discussion

    Since 2013, every year where it turns abnormally cold has had a delayed spring. 2013-2014: Delayed spring, cool summer 2014-2015: Delayed spring, average summer 2017-2018: Cold, warm, Cold - It did not hit normal temps until 3rd week of April here.
  9. Al_Cvervik

    Winter 2018-2019 | Outlooks and Discussion

    Last years cold spell was 2-3 weeks, followed by a wonderful Feb, only to be destroyed by a cold march and April. I think Motown even pointed out that we had a top 5 coldest April, only to be followed by a top five warmest May. Just a theory but I remember in the past say late 80's to late 2000's/early 2010's that we used to get severe thunderstorms, Since then it seems like severe thunderstorm activity has dropped considerably probably due to the fact we no longer get any influence from Gulf of Mexico. Seems like cold regime is here to stay.
  10. Al_Cvervik

    Winter 2018-2019 | Outlooks and Discussion

    I am confused by this. Besides 15-16 & 16-17, when hasn't the east been cold? Cheers to yet another delayed Spring!
  11. Al_Cvervik

    Winter 2018-2019 | Outlooks and Discussion

    utterly depressing as the thought that another delayed spring is on the horizon
  12. Al_Cvervik

    Winter 2018-2019 | Outlooks and Discussion

    I see it like this. Warmth or normal temps get erased in next couple of weeks, then cold air digs in and stays put. I expect that the Great Lakes region might see normal temps again towards latter half of April. Like your quote above, this has happened most years since 2011-2012 winter.
  13. Al_Cvervik

    Winter 2018-2019 | Outlooks and Discussion

    I agree but with each of the years where it goes off the charts cold in Jan or Feb, it has lingered into March, April, and May in some cases. Off the charts = 6-10 degrees below normal for weeks at a time. If we left above normal temps and went to normal temps, then great. I know the long range is iffy it looks likes lots of days in low to mid 20's for highs when your high should start climbing throughout Feb and Mar.
  14. How are our friends in the southern hemisphere faring with their summer weather?
  15. Al_Cvervik

    Winter of 1993-1994

    Easily one of the coldest days I can remember was 1/19/94. It never got above zero and I had to take out the garbage FTL.
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