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About wtkidz

  • Birthday October 5

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  • Locale
    Fredericksburg, VA


  • Interests
    10lb Poodle that thinks he is a bit bull, kinda like a few storms I have seen in my life.

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  1. I have no snow in the forecast which is fine for my area but just wanted to post sterlings AFD because it mention the dreaded March sun angle.
  2. I agree as usual our area is right on the rain/ snow line.
  3. Sterling two cents In response to the first shortwave, a weak surface low will develop along the Carolina coastline with weak warm air advection affecting the region. This will promote the development of precipitation Thursday night into early Friday. The precipitation anticipated Thursday night into early Friday should be a mixed bag of precipitation...mostly in the form of sleet with snow mixed in, while locations along the Mason-Dixon region will be mainly snow due to freezing temperatures at all levels of the atmosphere. The freezing rain/sleet/snow mixture will be more likely across southwestern areas. Precipitation likely to be on the lighter side. While the NAM remains to be the outlier model, the ECMWF and GFS models have trended up in precipitation amounts. Nonetheless, this doesn`t look like a major winter storm Thursday night and early Friday, but could be just enough wintry accumulations to cause slick spots across the DMV. We are leaning toward a 1 to 2 inch amount of snow and sleet mix with lesser amounts west and south. Some light ice accumulation is possible in the western zones. Precipitation should then exit relatively rapidly Friday morning with dry conditions for the afternoon and highs in the low 40s. Uncertainty remains Friday night with a second low pressure system from the Plains states. There is a chance for some light rain and snow mix, but too much uncertainty on timing and amounts of either precipitation type.
  4. Yes but RR you know how it is.... You mention winter weather and there are 5 accidents on 95 .
  5. We are now to sleet here in southern northern Virginia or you could say northern central virginia Keeping our 2” s of snow watching the sleet bounce off of it
  6. Just a bit under two inches on the “redneck “snow stick. Maybe an inch or two more then sleet and finally rain. Light snow and 30
  7. had to share It used just say snow, now heavy snow. of course it will need to go weight watchers
  8. Just updated Sterling Afd .NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 PM THIS EVENING/... Chilly today under building high pressure with increasing high clouds later today. Northerly winds will continue to advect lower dewpoints through early afternoon and act to strengthen the sfc wedge once precip begins later tonight. && .SHORT TERM /6 PM THIS EVENING THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT/... No sig changes were noted among the 00Z global models if anything a little colder aloft and slightly slower precip onset time. Significant heavy wintry precip event expected late tonight into Thu morning as warm moist air on the east side of sfc cyclone over the mid MS valley overruns strong sfc high pressure east of the Appalachians. Cold air damming signature is pretty strong with 1040 mb high north of the region and sfc dewpoints in the teens and potentially single digits. Very strong upper level forcing indicated by global models in the 09-18Z time frame Wed will lead to an expansive area of wintry precip with intense snowfall rates likely with warning level snows expected. Warmer air aloft begins to move in after 18Z with snow changing/mixing with sleet and eventually changing to freezing rain. By 00Z Thu, snow should have transitioned to freezing rain or rain depending on sfc temps. Southeast areas will see the transition to rain first with cold air at the sfc hanging tough over northern and northwest portions of the area specifically west of Rt 15 and north of I-70. By midnight Wed night, most areas should have transitioned to rain except possibly in the typically colder valleys of Allegany and Morgan Counties. Any lingering fzra should have transitioned to all rain by 12Z Thu with precip ending by midday Thu as secondary area of low pressure lifts away to the northeast. Please see our winter weather products and precip-type accumulations for specific snow/ice amounts.
  9. well IMBY we get these storm s no watch and suddenly a warning. I live a area e that is too far south of DC but to far north for Richmond and seems to have its own climate
  10. You may want to fly tomorrow. or early Wednesday . morning.
  11. A lot of moisture predicted and rainbow of types. It will be "fun" to see how it plays out.
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