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US Wild Weather

Extreme active pattern across the entire US continues, what does it mean for your region? Join the conversion

TheRex

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  • Locale
    Champlain Valley, VT elev. 350 ft.

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    Weather, skiing

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  1. TheRex

    February 16-18, 2019 | Winter Storm

    Looks like the 18Z has the same size snow shield as the 12Z but decreased snowfall amounts in Central New York and Massachusetts.
  2. TheRex

    February 16-18, 2019 | Winter Storm

    BTV NWS added a 40% chance of snow for Monday with only a 1/2" of accumulation expected. They didn't even mention the chance of snow yesterday. NAM and SREFs have trended favorably for northern New England, which has been the theme for most of the winter. I'm only a 1 1/2" away of hitting our average annual snowfall for this winter.
  3. 8 am OBS: Temp at 32F and DP at 21F. Light snow with very large flakes just started to fall within the last half-hour. Expecting less than a half-inch of accumulation before the snow turns to rain by 3 pm.
  4. BTV NWS not putting chances of snow in their forecast for Sunday night through Monday. However, the 06Z GFS, GFS-FV3 and the NAM have us with 2 to 5 inches during that time period. We have some friends coming up for the long weekend and will be driving back to NJ on Monday. I'd sound like a crazy person right now if I mentioned to them it may be snowing on their drive home.
  5. TheRex

    February 12-13, 2019 | Winter Storm

    Here's something you don't see everyday in a East Coast ski report. This is from Bolton Valley and I skied there Monday and anything ungroomed was like a glacier due to the ice last week and lack of new snow over the prior week. Maybe this is a marketing ploy😂 Venturing off of open terrain this morning will be EXTREMELY dangerous. Thick powder turns could easily give way to an unforgiving icy bottom sending you and the hillside sliding down. We hate to say it, but avalanches are within the realm of possibilities today. Stick to our open trails, and ski/ride with a buddy to drastically reduce danger.
  6. TheRex

    February 12-13, 2019 | Winter Storm

    How much snow did Montreal end up with? Last night the radar showed heavy snow funneling toward the Montreal area.
  7. TheRex

    February 12-13, 2019 | Winter Storm

    We ended up with 9.5" so it looks like the NWS did a good job with their 10" forecast but they had been adjusting their forecast from a range of 8" to 13" yesterday, and I used their last map at the time of the posting. The SREFs also did well.
  8. TheRex

    February 12-13, 2019 | Winter Storm

    We ended up with 9.5" here. We had 6" last night around midnight when I cleared the driveway. There was a new 3.5" this morning. There continues to be very light snow falling but I don't expect anymore accumulation.
  9. TheRex

    February 12-13, 2019 | Winter Storm

    11 pm OBS: 6" of snowfall and a temp of 18F. The snow is currently coming down very lightly. We will need to see that rate pick up overnight if we expect to hit double digits. No sleet so far and no noticeable wind. i just cleared the driveway with the snowblower and it is so much easier to clear without wind. Good night.
  10. TheRex

    February 12-13, 2019 | Winter Storm

    I can't believe that you went to sleet so early. Maybe it will switch back to snow later. BTV did have sleet in our forecast from 11 pm to 4 am but took that out of the forecast earlier tonight. I was thinking 8" for my area but I think that will be low unless we get a sleet storm starting soon.
  11. TheRex

    February 12-13, 2019 | Winter Storm

    9 pm OBS. 15F with 5 inches of snow. Snowfall rate at an inch an hour.
  12. TheRex

    February 12-13, 2019 | Winter Storm

    8 pm OBS: 4" at 14F. It is coming down at about an 1" an rate.
  13. TheRex

    February 12-13, 2019 | Winter Storm

    'BTV NWS took sleet out of our forecast for tonight. Snow ratios to this point must be really high. @MaineJay gave me some great info on snow ratios in the last big storm when it was so cold here that our ratios were low. Looks like the opposite up to this point in this storm. My expectations had been in the 8:1 to 10:1 range since sleet has been a threat.
  14. TheRex

    February 12-13, 2019 | Winter Storm

    6:50 PM OBS: 3" of snow with temp at 14F. Flakes are small but the air it totally full of these flakes.
  15. TheRex

    February 12-13, 2019 | Winter Storm

    5:30 OBS: 1.25" snow accumulation, Temp at 14F and DP at 10F. Snowfall rate is moderate.
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